IowaTrend lines 12/20-will going negative reverse a trend?

[Capn Sunshine]

[Adelante]

1. What a nice picture

:)

[Capn Sunshine]

2. Needs text I guess, although the pic says it all

You can see by the trendlines that Hillary's campaign has real problems which just may result in a close loss in Iowa.

Ergo, monkey feces in the air

[killbotfactory]

3. Throw enough mud, some of it's bound to stick

But I'm guessing this will hurt her much more than it hurts Obama, and Edwards will benefit.

[jenmito]

4. Why would Edwards benefit from a false attack on Obama by Hillary?

Hopefully voters will leave Hillary's camp and join Obama's. It's not HIS fault Hillary's getting desperate and smearing him. And it doesn't make EDWARDS a better candidate. It makes OBAMA a better candidate for not getting in the mud with her.

[JackORoses]

5. I've got a Golden Trendline! I've got a Golden Dream!

[Capn Sunshine]

6. well Orange actually

I'm not sure if an Orange dream has any downside to it however.

But the take away from this poll is that these trends are solid and as I mentioned before, pretty much the final arbiter; folks are settled in where they are going to be for the duration .

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. If You Look At The Last Five Polls Released Obama Has Turned A Nine Point Lead Into A Four Point

Defecit...

Comparing polls by different pollsters is tricky but you can see the slippage in the same polls by the same polling organizations:


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ia/iowa_democratic_caucus-208.html

The (trend) is your (friend)


Same phenomenon in New Hampshire:


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_primary-194.html