Eric Zorn writes the political blog Change of Subject for the Chicago Tribune. Yesterday, he laid down his bets for 2008:
Last fall, Change of Subject readers pooled their wisdom and correctly called the results in six out of six key state and local political races.
So I asked them last week to predict the results of the Democratic and Republican presidential primaries, the vice-presidential nominees
and the winner.
The majority of forecasters said Hillary Clinton will beat out Barack Obama for the Democratic nomination (52 percent to 44 percent), but
so many of them think Clinton, if nominated, will lose in the general election that Obama is actually the best bet of readers to win the
presidential election --36 percent picked Obama to win, 28 percent went for Clinton and only 10 percent chose Mitt Romney, the next
closest candidate.
My picks:
I, too, think Obama will win. My guess is that Clinton will get hit with an Obama-lanche in Iowa, lose narrowly to him in New Hampshire
and then, in a furious attempt to right her campaign and puncture Obama's balloon, go too negative and remind many Democrats that
they’ve had enough of the polarizing pageantry of the Clintons and it’s time to move on.
Obama's running mate? I’m picking retired four-star Gen. Wesley Clark, who ran unsuccessfully for the Democratic presidential nomination
in 2004. Yes, he's a Clinton supporter, but choosing the former NATO Supreme Allied Commander and Iraq-war critic would give Obama's
ticket some added heft and be an olive branch to disaffected Clintonistas who still can’t get over the audacity of what Obama wrote in
Kindergarten.
http://blogs.chicagotribune.com/news_columnists_ezorn/2007/12/whos-that-in-th.htmlInteresting.