Rassumussen: Election 2008: New Hampshire Democratic Primary 12/01/07

[Alamom]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/2008_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_democratic_primary


Rassumussen: Election 2008: New Hampshire Democratic Primary

Saturday, December 01, 2007



The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone poll of the state’s Likely Primary Voters shows Clinton with 33% of the vote while Obama attracts 26%. John Edwards is the top choice for 15% while Bill Richardson earns 9% of the vote. Joe Biden and Dennis Kucinich are each preferred by 4%.


>

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Clinton’s supporters are “certain” they will vote for her. Sixty-three percent (63%) of Obama’s supporters are that certain along with 49% of those who plan to vote for Edwards.

Nationally, Clinton continues to hold a solid lead in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Clinton, Obama, and Edwards are essentially in a three-way tie in Iowa. Iowa’s caucuses are scheduled for Thursday, January 3 while New Hampshire’s Primary will take place the following Tuesday, January 8.


>

Fifty-four percent (54%) believe that Clinton will win New Hampshire and 55% believe she will be the party’s nominee. Just 25% believe Obama will wrest the nomination away from her and 8% believe Edwards will win in the end.


Survey of 959 Likely Dem Primary Voters
November 29, 2007

[MadBadger]

1. Thought Id include and Important quote that you left out.

"Clinton’s seven-point advantage is down from a ten-point lead in early November. In October, Clinton held a sixteen-point advantage over Obama. A month earlier, Clinton was ahead by twenty-three percentage points. "

[Adelante]

2. Chris Dodd at 1%

I am really surprised he doesn't do better in New England. What do you think his problem there is?

[Alamom]

3. Me, too & I don't know, however,

I've noticed most polling companies are calling less people than they did a few years ago.

Even though I post one here and there, I don't think many of them are truly representative of the American voting public.

I questioned this during the 04 race and we had a member who had worked for one of these companies and had a formula for more accurate results.

I recall him saying over 2000 people needed to be called to get anything considered to be close to a trend and it needed to be a real person calling to verify voting credentials as much as they can be verified over the phone.


I have not seen a poll with over 2000 people being called in a very long time....maybe the formula has changed..........

I've been a registered Democrat, actively voting 37 years and never been called.

[Adelante]

5. I dunno, to my recollection state polls

have always had smaller universes, but my recollection wouldn't be something I'd bank on. I've never received a polling call in roughly the same amount of time as a Dem.

[Perky]

4. Spinner! Spinner! Pants on fire!

come on now how about the lead few paragraphs of the article?

here I will help you out.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/2008_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_democratic_primary

In New Hampshire, home to the first-in-the-nation Presidential Primary, Hillary Clinton’s lead over Barack Obama is now measured in single digits.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone poll of the state’s Likely Primary Voters shows Clinton with 33% of the vote while Obama attracts 26%. John Edwards is the top choice for 15% while Bill Richardson earns 9% of the vote. Joe Biden and Dennis Kucinich are each preferred by 4%.

Clinton’s seven-point advantage is down from a ten-point lead in early November. In October, Clinton held a sixteen-point advantage over Obama. A month earlier, Clinton was ahead by twenty-three percentage points.

Clinton leads Obama by fourteen among women but trails by three among men. Last month, she led by seventeen among women and was tied among men.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Clinton’s supporters are “certain” they will vote for her. Sixty-three percent (63%) of Obama’s supporters are that certain along with 49% of those who plan to vote for Edwards.

[Adelante]

6. The OP isn't lying, Perky

Anyone has the right to post whatever parts of an article they want. I do it in Obama's favor at times and also if I'm aiming for a particular topic in an article to be highlighted and discussed. There is no rule or even tradition at DU of posting only the opening paragraphs.

[Perky]

7. Well......

ok.....it was tongue in cheek needling... but I changed it.

[Adelante]

8. Sorry I didn't get the tongue

in the cheek :dunce:

[Alamom]

9. Your OP : Your favorite parts in bold @ 10:34 and then came to

this thread and crapped on it. There's a name for that, too.


http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x3778590



editgr

[MadBadger]

11. Im just wondering why you left that part out about her falling?

[Perky]

14. Truth telling?

[Carrieyazel]

10. Wow. Hillary down to 33% in NH, 36% nationally, 27% in Iowa.

What happened to the inevitable Senator Hillary Clinton? Quick, what does she do?

[ClarkUSA]

12. Her electability numbers are falling along with everything else.

I seem to recall a NH poll last week that had her numbers there in the 80% region. Now, only "55% believe she will be the party’s nominee".
This may account for her continued drop in the poll.

[Colobo]

13. Obama is surging. Fast.

That's what matters here. :)

[TeamJordan23]

15. Yes, he is....I think more people are accepting his message.

[Tellurian]

16. Obama's surge is historically called a "blip" by Rasmussen..

The last time he recorded a "blip" was Sep 22...until the dip followed by the usual malaise of the dreaded plateau became the norm for him. I expect this is his trend.