Are there any polls that factor in Nader?

[Lone_Wolf]

I think Nader said he would consider running if Hillary got the nod. I would like to see how the top Dems fair vs. Repugs in a poll with Nader factored into the race.

[ronnykmarshall]

1. There are no polls big enough

to include his massive ego.

[ilovesunshine]

2. Nader loves to guarantee one thing...

and that's Republicans winning.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. His Two Percent Is Not Enough To Swing The Election

He can become the Harold Stassen of the new millenium..

[Lone_Wolf]

4. I'm not so sure...

Especially, if it comes down to Hillary vs. The Ghoul.

First, NY is not is sure thing for Hillary. The Ghoul will be competitive here.

Second, a lot of progressive Dems would be turned off by Hillary enough to vote for Nader or a 3rd party candidate.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. Afraid Not

First, NY is not is sure thing for Hillary. The Ghoul will be competitive here.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=17f3ad6c-532d-4b3c-84d1-3b20c2638379

[Lone_Wolf]

8. You think a poll of 516 respondents is representative of NY?

???

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. It's A Probality Sample With A MOE Of 4.4%

DSB

[Lone_Wolf]

10. The sponsors are also from Democrat leaning areas...

If the poll was done in Corning, Jamestown, Utica, Watertown, etc. I wouldn't be a bit surprised to see The Ghoul come out ahead.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. The Poll Was For The Entire State

I also think HRC won nearly all NY counties in 06 including many that went for Bush* in 04...

[Lone_Wolf]

12. Cool... poll does include all of NY

The Repugs basically conceded the race as they didn't run a competitive candidate (John Spencer). In fact, Spencer received no help to speak of from the national Repugs.

In fact, it is kind of troubling that he got 31% of the vote. If memory serves, he won 3-5 counties.

To contrast this, Clinton's 2006 margin did not quite equal the percentage received by Eliot Spitzer in the concurrent gubernatorial race (69%-29%) nor by Charles Schumer in his 2004 Senate re-election campaign (71%-24%), both of which had also been against little-known Republican opponents.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. She Won By Almost Forty Points

The fact she even became the senator is remarkable...

[Capn Sunshine]

6. This year's Nader model seems to be Ron Paul

I predict his acolytes will be around for years to come , just like the LaRouchies

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. And Both Of Their Support Outside The Net Is A Mile Deep And An Inch Wide

DSB

[skipos]

14. Here you go:

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_clinton_42_giuliani_39_ron_paul_8

and while Nader and/or Greens might run against Clinton, they might run against Kucinich too. Greens worked to defeat Lamont in CT and Wellstone in MN, so they will work to defeat any Democrat.