Clinton's Lead Slips Seven Points in New Hampshire

[ClarkUSA]

Clinton's lead in New Hampshire is narrowing -- down 7 points since September -- according to the latest CNN/WMUR-TV poll.

Clinton now gets 36% support, followed by Obama at 22% (up 2 points), John Edwards at 13% (up 1 point). In September, Clinton
led Obama 43%-20%, and Edwards was at 12%, so Clinton's lead over Obama has shrunk from 23 points to 14 points in the past
two months.

Also:

Richardson 12%.
Dennis Kucinich 3%
Joe Biden 2%
Chris Dodd 1%

Kucinich has as many supporters as Biden and Dodd combined. Wow.

47% of those polled remain undecided, so I expect many to finally make up their minds after Jan. 3's Iowa caucus results roll in.


http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/primary2008_demprim112007.pdf

[flordehinojos]

1. poppy's hell poop to hillary must be working up a stink!

[Alamom]

2. 389 peeps polled.......(moe) +/- 5.0%.

:eyes:

[ClarkUSA]

3. This is the second New Hampshire poll in a week that has shown a similar slide for Clinton.

Ditto for Iowa polls.

[PDittie]

4. If she comes in 2nd in Iowa and New Hampshire

then we've got ourselves a brand new race. If she comes in third in Iowa and and 2nd in NH, then Nevada doesn't help her much because she probably gets swamped in SC. Then the focus turns to Super Tuesday on Feb. 5th, and a clearly wounded Clinton campaign either recovers or concedes shortly thereafter.

These national polls are shit. Whoever wins Iowa wins the Democratic nomination (so history tells us). And whoever comes in third there is damaged nearly beyond repair.

Obama and Edwards must stand their ground in the Hawkeye State, finishing one-two, or else the "inevitability of Hillary" gets the cement poured.

[ClarkUSA]

7. I agree 100% with your analysis.

Clinton is looking at third place when first and second choices are tallied, according to the latest ABC/Washington Post poll of likely caucus
voter. Obama leads as the first AND second choice for 55%, followed by Edwards, who while coming in third as first choice managed to take
i#2 as second choice which left Clinton in third place overall. The trend lines looks good.

Bless those Iowans.

[dugggy]

12. Don't worry, Hillary will come in 1st in Iowa & NH

n/t

[ilovesunshine]

5. I'm surprised Edwards isn't polling better, considering...

that he is pretty much living there and has been for quite some time.

May the best candidate win!

[MethuenProgressive]

6. On electability: Clinton 69%, Obama 10%

Edwards ties for third overall pick with Richardson.

Always interesting to read past the headlines in touted polls, isn't it?

[ClarkUSA]

8. WTH do opinions "electability" matter when Clinton's been trending down all month?

As if that won't change on a dime after Iowa.

Interesting how you manage to always cherry pick poll results, isn't it?

[DaveinMD]

9. I don't know

how important the New Hampshire polls are until the results from Iowa come in. Iowa could transform the entire race.

[ClarkUSA]

13. True.

But the trend lines match Iowa's and that's fascinating, because voters in both states are probably paying closer
attention than 95% of the U.S. populace at the moment. If they hold, then Obama will win Iowa and the snowball
effect will -- well, you know what happened in 2004.

[DaveinMD]

14. I tthink if Obama

wins one of the early states, they'll be a real contest. Hillary does have a nice firewall in some of the other states.

[ClarkUSA]

15. I predict Clinton's leads in Feb. 5 states will evaporate if Obama wins Iowa.

People like a winner. That's the biggest lesson I took away from 2004 -- and the calendar is way more compressed
than it was then, so the media tsunami effect will be even greater.

[DaveinMD]

16. I think it will compress

and they'll split some of those states and the race will then make it to the Feb 12 states and then my vote will actually matter.

[Skip Intro]

10. Obama's up TWO whole points in THREE months! WOW, talk about the big mo.

:rofl:

[neutron]

11. Clinton's gotta start paying more attention to

blogs or she's a goner.

The Obama and Edwards camps have been crucifying her for
months.