Elon University Poll: Hillary very strong in the Southeast...

[SaveElmer]

New York Sen. Hillary Clinton’s campaign to be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2008 continues to strengthen across the South Atlantic region of the country with more than double the support from Democrats than her closest rivals, according to the latest Elon University Poll. Rudy Giuliani, the former New York City mayor, is the current favorite for the Republican nomination.

And the war in Iraq continues to be the most pressing issue on the public’s mind as the first presidential primary elections approach in January.

The poll, conducted Nov. 4-8 and 12-14 by the Elon University Institute for Politics and Public Affairs, surveyed 1,374 residents from Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina and Virginia. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.7 percent. The sample is of the population in general and does not restrict respondents by their voter eligibility or their likelihood of voting in an election.

Respondents were split on which party to support in 2008. Thirty-five percent of respondents indicated support for the Republicans and 36 percent favored the Democrats. Twenty-three percent of citizens are unsure of which party they will support at this time.

“Given these numbers it looks like it’s going to be a close race between the Democrats and Republicans come November,” said Hunter Bacot, director of the Elon University Poll. “But for the respective party primaries, there are definite differences. In these states, Democrats have settled on a candidate while among Republicans it appears many people are still searching for a candidate.”

Of the respondents who plan to support the Democratic Party, 45 percent indicated support for Hillary Clinton. Barack Obama and John Edwards followed with 17 percent and 11 percent, respectively. Nineteen percent of Democrat supporters are undecided.

http://www.elon.edu/e-net/Note.aspx?id=925445

[rodeodance]

1. that is large Undecided segment

[SaveElmer]

3. Thought Experiment...assume every undecided breaks for Obama...

Hillary still ahead outside MoE...

[mzteris]

6. that may be misleading, though.

Technically, you could call me "undecided" as I will vote for whomever is the Democratic Candidate. I like them all. Some more than others on some issues, and other candidates on different issues. There is NO "Perfect" candidate. Never can be. All I know is I want ANYONE but a gd republican in the WH.

[Cameron27]

2. Wow, that's a big lead.

[Benhurst]

4. Yeah, we can depend upon the Dixie to rally around Hillary.

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

5. If the southeast is a toss-up it's a landslide

"Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina and Virginia"


An even race in those 5 combined equals wins in FL and VA.

(Kerry lost all 5 of those.)

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. I Don't Think There Were Numbers Against The Rethugs

DSB

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

8. referring to this:

Respondents were split on which party to support in 2008. Thirty-five percent of respondents indicated support for the Republicans and 36 percent favored the Democrats. Twenty-three percent of citizens are unsure of which party they will support at this time.

“Given these numbers it looks like it’s going to be a close race between the Democrats and Republicans come November,” said Hunter Bacot, director of the Elon University Poll. “But for the respective party primaries, there are definite differences. In these states, Democrats have settled on a candidate while among Republicans it appears many people are still searching for a candidate.”