New California Polls...Kerry beats Bush in that state

[Nicholas_J]

February 18, 2004 05:59 PM US Eastern Timezone

Kerry Only Democrat Leading Bush in California According to New Hoover-Knowledge Networks Poll

STANFORD, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Feb. 18, 2004--Without even setting foot in the Golden State, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry now leads President Bush, according to a Hoover Institution-Knowledge Networks survey of 567 registered California voters. The survey was administered via the web-enabled panel between February 4 and February 13 and has a sampling margin of error of 4.1 percentage points.


Respondents were asked how they would vote if the presidential election were between Bush and Kerry. Of those who had a preference, 48 percent preferred Bush and 52 percent Kerry. (When people who hadn't decided were included, Kerry won by 42-38.)

Kerry is the only Democratic candidate who beats Bush one-on-one; against Edwards, Bush wins narrowly by 52 to 48. (Given the margin of error, Kerry's lead could be as high as +12 or as low as -4).

The survey indicates that Californians are already strongly divided by their party affiliation. Bush wins only 8 percent of the state's Democrats, while Kerry is the choice of the same proportion of Republicans. Among Independents, Bush has a slight advantage, by 53 to 47.

http://home.businesswire.com/portal/site/google/index.jsp?ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20040218005946&newsLang=en

[mot78]

1. Hoover Institution?

They one of those RW think tanks. Also, Kerry has more name recognition than Edwards in California.

[King of New Orleans]

2. what the bleep

is a web enabled panel?

This survey seems to be more of a lab experiment than a polling operation.

[JPJones]

3. California shouldn't even be close

WTF? Subtract a 15% Nader vote, and that means four more years of neo-con hell.

[disenfranchised]

4. It's the Green Party

I think the Green Party will get more votes than Nader in California.

But, I'm sick of blaming third parties. If we're worrying about third parties, then we have no confidence in our nominee.

[InhaleToTheChief]

6. exactly

fear of third parties = doing something wrong within the Dem party

[meti57b]

5. That's great ....but 48% is still a lot of people favoring bush :(

We have our work cut out for us, here.

That 48% is undoubtedly ahnold's coat-tails.