NY Times/CBS Poll: Iowa Tight Among Dems; GOP Race In Flux

[babylonsister]

http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2007/11/ny_timescbs_poll_iowa_tight_among_dems_gop_race_in_flux.php

NY Times/CBS Poll: Iowa Tight Among Dems; GOP Race In Flux
By Greg Sargent - November 13, 2007, 8:08PM

The new New York Times/CBS poll of Iowa and New Hampshire has just been released. Key findings:

* The Dem contest is basically tied in Iowa while Hillary enjoys a large lead in New Hampshire, both of which we know already;

* The claim by Hillary's Dem rivals that she's too politically calculating may be bearing some fruit, with Iowa voters split on whether they think she says what she believes or says what she thinks people want to hear (in New Hampshire, a solid majority trusts her to say what she believes);

* Mitt Romney has solid leads in New Hampshire and Iowa but large numbers of Romney voters are open to changing their minds;

* Large chunks of New Hampshire and Iowa Republicans are open to voting for a candidate who disagrees with them on abortion and same-sex marriage, a potential plus for Rudy.

The full poll is here. Dig in and tell us what you find:

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/20071113_POLL.pdf

[jaysunb]

1. I saw another poll today

It said 48% of the NH (D) voters had not decided on a candidate and only 24% were firmly behind anyone.
This thing seems very much up in the air to me.

[babylonsister]

2. Me, too, which I'm happy about. Maybe that's why I haven't made up

my mind either. :)

[JCMach1]

5. throw the indys into the NH mix and nothing is decided you are right

[AtomicKitten]

3. I'm thrilled the Democratic coronation has been stymied by "those boys."

;-)

[jaysunb]

4. Now, now...

let's not get too happy here, I hear there's a plan "B" ....LOL !

[AtomicKitten]

7. You mean Plan B From Outer Space, right?

[jaysunb]

8. heh heh !

:rofl:

[calteacherguy]

6. Over 50% in both Iowa and NH say it's too early to make up thier minds.

That's a KEY finding if I ever saw one.

Also, a lot will depend on "second choices" because in Iowa if a candidate does not get 15% Support in a caucus their supporters go to their second choice. Other polls have showed an even greater tightening of the race when this is taken into account...with Clinton at a slight disadvantage when "second choice" is taken into account.