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Some perspective on the polls, 10 months ago Hillary was 4th in Iowa behind Vilsack

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Herman Munster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-07-07 09:03 PM
Original message
Some perspective on the polls, 10 months ago Hillary was 4th in Iowa behind Vilsack
She's now leading in every poll there. I'd say she's made enormous progress.
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-07-07 09:04 PM
Response to Original message
1. In fact, she was considering skipping Iowa altogether
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geek tragedy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-07-07 09:05 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Probably a good idea. Better to skip it if she's not expected
to win than to lose it if she is expected to win.
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-07-07 09:04 PM
Response to Original message
2. Don't worry, she won't fold like a bad poker hand
Or will she?

:scared:
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geek tragedy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-07-07 09:04 PM
Response to Original message
3. Her expectations have gone up even higher. n/t
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Tellurian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-07-07 09:11 PM
Response to Original message
5. Hillary is running like she's 20 pts behind.. she alway does..
By Mark Murray

Deputy political director
NBC News

updated 3 hrs ago

WASHINGTON - After a debate performance last week that continues to produce headlines — and that she admitted wasn’t her best showing — Hillary Clinton continues to enjoy a 20-point lead over her nearest rival in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, according to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

What’s more, Democrats still hold a double-digit lead over Republicans in a generic ballot test for the White House, due in large part to the poor political environment for the GOP.

Yet given those advantages, Clinton — as well as the other top Democrats in the race — finds herself in a dead heat in a general election match-up against Rudy Giuliani, who leads the GOP presidential field in the poll.
“Her primary numbers are certainly strong, and that is where the game is being played ,” says Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart, who conducted this survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff.

In the Democratic race, Clinton, the senator from New York, leads Illinois Sen. Barack Obama nationally, 47-25 percent — with former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards coming in third at 11 percent. No other Democratic candidate receives more than 4 percent in the poll.

Polls in the all-important early battleground of Iowa, however, show a much tighter Democratic race.

Clinton’s 22-point advantage over Obama in the survey is virtually unchanged since this summer. In the September NBC/Journal poll, her lead was 21 points (44-23 percent). And in July, it was the same margin (43-22 percent).
“Hillary is essentially in no different shape than she’s been in this year,” says McInturff, the GOP pollster.

One of the reasons, it seems, why Clinton commands this lead over Obama is the perception of experience.

Seventy-six percent of Democrats surveyed in the poll give Clinton high marks for being knowledgeable and experienced enough to handle the presidency. By comparison, just 41 percent of Democrats say the same about Obama.

Similarly, 63 percent give Clinton high marks for her ability to be a good commander-in-chief. That’s compared with 43 percent who give Obama high marks on this question.
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MannyGoldstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-07-07 09:18 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. President Dean Is In Agreement With You
The race is over!

:rofl:
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Tellurian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-08-07 01:43 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. Go back to bed, Manny..
we'll wake you when it's over!
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OHdem10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-07-07 09:29 PM
Response to Original message
7. Polls: Most serious commentators including T.Russert,
have said we should not take the national polls too seriously.

Watch the early state polls for a real sense of what is actually
happening.

It appears the TV News Personalities use those national polls to
try to get a horse race going or manipulate people. Human Psychology
people for the most part want to be with the winner. Hear a poll
every day that SO and So is ahead. Pretty soon people jump on
the band wagon. This way the Media can get who they want as
candidates. More people are sheeple I fear.
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itsrobert Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-07-07 09:33 PM
Response to Original message
8. What goes up, must come down
And she's on her way down now.
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