Pledged delegates: Edwards 141, Dean 95. That's why Dean's in 3d place.

[AP]

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/primaries/pages/scorecard/index.html

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/primaries/pages/scorecard/unpledged.html

[Freddie Stubbs]

1. But if you add in the superdelegates

Dean leads Edwards.

the really important number is how many Kerry has. He is on pace to win a majority of delegates, making the arguement over who finishes 2nd or third moot.

[AP]

3. Superdelegates are already depledging with Dean. And they're not going

to stick with him if he's not in first place.

Do you really think the superdelegaltes would ever try to turn the election by going against the person the people chose?

[Freddie Stubbs]

5. Most of the superdelaegates will stay with thier endorsements

Candidates will drop out when it is obvious that they cannot win, and their superdelegates will be free to support Kerry.

[AP]

6. If their vote would make a difference in who is nominated, they are NOT

going to stick with the person with fewer pledged delegates.

And unpledged delegates have ALREADY started depledging with Dean.

[meti57b]

2. Clark had something like 100 delegates before he left the race.

That sort of made Dean tied for third.

[AP]

4. 57 isn't something like 100. It's something like half of what Dean has.

Which didn't sort of make him tied for third. It put him in fourth place.

[WI_DEM]

7. well in the last few weeks more contests

have been in Edwards stronger areas than Deans. But in the last week or ten days Dean has gained more delegates than Edwards. Last weekend Dean gained delegates in Nevada and DC to Edwards none. Dean didn't gain any delegates in Virgina and Tennessee but neither did Edwards in Maine and Washington. Dean won 24 delegates in Michigan and I think Edwards got 6.

Tonight Dean will win more delegates--it will be interesting how it plays out. Who will be first, second, and third.

BTW, I don't think either Edwards or Dean should drop out as long as they excite there supporters and are winning delegates and have a strong message to present.

[AP]

8. Edwards has 50% more delegates than Dean!

And EVERYWHERE was Dean's strong area before Iowa. He was leading nationwide, while Edwards was in the 5-9% range. Edwards was polling at 1/8th the level Dean was polling, and now he has 50% more delegates!

[AP]

9. Kick.

[AP]

10. kick again