Nationwide poll: Giuliani ahead of Clinton. Obama leads Giuliani by wide margin

[antiimperialist]

The latest nation-wide poll to be released (George Washington University Battleground poll), conducted July 15-18, has found that Rudy Giuliani does well in a hypothetical matchup against Hillary Clinton, leading her 50%-44%, while losing to Barack Obama 52%-43%.

It is worth noting that recent polls differ in their results, with a Fox News conducted at roughly the same time as this one showing Hil over Rudy by 5%, and Obama up by 4%.

I'm refraining from reaching any conclusions, due to this disagreement between polls.

http://www.tarrance.com/11363Qper.pdf

[onehandle]

1. Giuliani will never be nominated.

He's running to sell books and up his speaking fees.

[aquart]

2. Giuliani can't even deliver New York.

Weird little poll there.

[antiimperialist]

7. But he can deliver florida and Pennsylvania

according to polls.

[rinsd]

8. Clinton is within the MOE of Rudy in FL was tied with Rudy on PA

FL - http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1085

PA (this one is about a month old though)- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1079

OH - http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1083

In every state, Rudy's numbers have been in a downward trend.

[SaveElmer]

3. Interesting....

A couple weeks old, and as you point out has been contradicted by several polls taken since. Never have seen a poll form GW before...pollster.com does not reference it that I can see...

If it is at all accurate it should be confirmed in later polls, which so far it hasn't...

Thanks for posting it though!

[CTyankee]

4. This is important to me so I watch these infrequent national polls withinterest.

Right now I am pretty much decided to vote for whichever candidate can WIN, within the boundaries of competency and Democratic party values and policy stands. If Hillary's polls nationwide (not just within the party) show her leading any Republican that is in or about to be in the race, then I will vote for her, primary and general. If she can't do it, but Obama can, I will vote for him, primary and general.

That said, I also want to see a competently run campaign in the primary. A candidate can have the greatest ideas on the earth, but they are no good if her/his organization can't hack it against the Republicans. We know the press won't be our best friend. We know the Republicans will be out smearing our candidate with Swift Boat type campaigns. We know that we had better have SOMETHING to defend us against wholesale tossing of our votes by local Republican officials. So we're already up against a LOT.

Is this asking too much?

[rinsd]

9. I think any of the top 3 can beat the GOP

Here's the last 6 polls doing National Heats

For Clinton vs. Rudy

FOX News 07/17 - 07/18 900 RV 41 46 13 Clinton +5.0
Battleground 07/15 - 07/18 1000 LV 50 44 6 Giuliani +6.0
Gallup 07/12 - 07/15 908 RV 49 46 5 Giuliani +3.0
Zogby 07/12 - 07/14 1012 LV 41 46 -- Clinton +5.0
Rasmussen 07/09 - 07/10 800 LV 43 44 13 Clinton +1.0
CNN 06/22 - 06/24 907 RV 48 49 1 Clinton +1.0

For Obama vs. Rudy

FOX News 07/17 - 07/18 900 RV 41 45 14 Obama +4.0
Battleground 07/15 - 07/18 1000 LV 43 52 6 Obama +9.0
Gallup 07/12 - 07/15 908 RV 49 45 6 Giuliani +4.0
Zogby 07/12 - 07/14 1012 LV 42 46 -- Obama +4.0
CNN 06/22 - 06/24 907 RV 48 46 2 Giuliani +2.0
Rasmussen 06/22 - 06/24 1200 LV 44 41 15 Giuliani +3.0


For Edwards vs Rudy

Zogby 07/12 - 07/14 1012 LV 46 43 -- Giuliani +3.0
Rasmussen 06/25 - 06/26 800 LV 45 45 10 Tie
Newsweek 06/20 - 06/21 831 RV 46 48 6 Edwards +2.0
USA Today/Gallup 06/11 - 06/14 927 RV 45 50 2 Edwards +5.0
LA Times/Bloomberg 06/07 - 06/10 1056 RV 43 46 7 Edwards +3.0

[CTyankee]

10. Well, since the likely voters must be a subset of registered voters

I would say we're doing pretty well against Rudy, perhaps the best known of the leading repub. candidates.

Of course, the repubs will not nominate him but I don't see any of their candidates doing diddly, outside of the 25% lunatics who are going down in the bunker.

[TwilightGardener]

5. If Bloomberg got in, he steals from Rudy, and Hillary does better.

Come on Mike! We need ya!

[Imagevision]

6. I hope repugs go for Rudy, the Dem smack-down would be entertaining...