GA Poll: Hillary 35, Obama 27, Edwards 16

[SaveElmer]

Hillary gets twice the support Obama does among women, statistically tied with Obama and Edwards among men...

http://www.insideradvantage.com/restricted/July%2007/7-16-07/gapoll.php

[napi21]

1. I hate to sound like a defeatist, but if the majority of GA votes for

ANY DEM, please all DUERS, call the paramedics! I'll need them!!!!

[SaveElmer]

3. Yeah no dem is winning Georgia...these numbers are only important...

In terms of the nomination...

[jcrew2001]

19. I don't think the men will stick around if Hillary is the nominee

I think Bloomberg will jump into the race - and all the men and independents will vote for him.

Hmmm...maybe hillary wants Bloomy in the race - thats her master plan!

[Alexander]

2. I wonder what the numbers are with Gore included?

You already showed us he'd win against everybody in Idaho.

[illinoisprogressive]

4. good news for Obama. He is 8 points off. smiling

[zulchzulu]

5. The full story

Democratic presidential primary:

Clinton: 35%
Obama: 27%
Edwards: 16%
Biden: 3%
Richardson: 3%
Kucinich: 1%
Others: 1%
Undecided: 15%

MoE: 5% with 400 polled (large margin of error with small sample)

Add that 15% are undecided...this thing is wide open.

[SaveElmer]

6. Well if Obama can snag 70% of those undecideds....

Then he will about tie Hillary...

good luck with that...

[Ethelk2044]

11. Obama will win GA in the Primary

[zulchzulu]

21. MoE of 5%...know what that means?

If a candidate has 37% and another has 25%, the MoE of 5% means it could be 32% to 30%. Nice poll... :crazy:

[jefferson_dem]

7. I'll take those digits anyday.

Eight points?! Frankly, i'm surprised it's that close.

[SaveElmer]

8. Why?

Why would you think Hillary would have a natural base of support in Georgia...I would think the dynamics would be closer to South Carolina...

I guess I can see how you would view any result in single digits as good news given Obama is usually behind in most polls by well into double digits...

Last Georgia poll on 6/23 only had Hillary 3 points up...

Different polling firm, but Hillary hasn't been this much up in any Georgia poll since August of last year.

Will have to see if other polls confirm, but looks like Hillary may be trending up...

[jefferson_dem]

20. Hillary has a natural built-in base of support everywhere. Georgia is no different.

The two times Obama's been here, the turnout and excitement was unbelievable, especially among young voters in the ATL area. He is building a solid organizational structure in the state. Watch for a badass GOTV effort for Obama on 2-5-8.

Eight down to the Hillary machine going into the early Fall is *almost* perfect...

EDIT: On another note, remember that we have an open primary down here. I think we can all agree that the ANTI-Hillary candidate will fare better in those, especially if it's Obama who has demonstrated he could appeal to independents and disaffected Repubs.

[MannyGoldstein]

9. Polls At This Point Predict Nothing. Nada. Bupkes.

They have no correlation with outcome.

[SaveElmer]

10. When did I ever say they did?...nt

[MannyGoldstein]

13. When Did *I* Ever Say You Did?

Two can play that game.

[SaveElmer]

14. You responded to my post as if I did...

If you acknowledge I didn't, and in fact I never have...I will accept your recantation...

[MannyGoldstein]

15. You Wrote The OP As If *You* Did

Heck, why else would you write it?

(I think we're even.)

[SaveElmer]

17. How about this...

If I posted the score at the halftime of a football game, would you assume I thought the outcome was final based on that?

In fact I have specifically said on numerous occasions that polls are not predictive of final outcome, but are akin to the current score of an ongoing game...

[MannyGoldstein]

18. Not Quite The Right Analogy, I Think

Reporting the half-time score is more like reporting a primary result.

Reporting early polling data is like sharing scouting reports.

[emilyg]

12. but they are fun.

[ronnykmarshall]

16. and they seem to bring out the regulars ...

any time a positive Hillary thread is posted .... HERE THEY COME!!!

It's like setting your clock.

[emilyg]

23. I'm one of those regulars and proud of it.

[draft_mario_cuomo]

24. I believe ronnyk was referring to the Obamabots nt

[draft_mario_cuomo]

22. All things considered, a solid showing for Edwards at this stage nt