Marc Ambinder, formerly of ABC's The Note, leaks Second Qtr. Fundraising Predictions

[flpoljunkie]

One wonders reading this--"if very few Obama staffers have access to estimates, and they're not talking," where did Ambinder get these Obama numbers?

Some Second Quarter Fundraising Predictions
18 Jun 2007 03:29 pm

Bear in mind that I retain the right to revise these as I receive additional information.

The Democrats:
Sen. Barack Obama: $28M-$35M
-- only a very few Obama staffers have access to estimates, and they're not talking
-- almost entirely primary money
-- cash on hand should be north of $32M

Sen. Hillary Clinton: $26M-28M
-- The primary/general election ratio will be around 5 to 1
-- Projected cash on hand should be north of $40M

Ex-Sen, John Edwards: $8.5M-11M
-- virtually all for the primary
-- cash on hand should be greater than $15M

Gov. BIll Richardson: $3-7M
Sen. Joe Biden: $3-5M
Sen. Chris Dodd: $2-M

The Republicans:
Gov. Mitt Romney: $17M-20M
-- Romney had the highest burn rate in the first quarter; I'll assume the rate held through the second quarter, so he's in reasonably good shape if he has more than $18M in reserves.

Ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani: $14M-17M
-- cash on hand should be north of $16M assuming a burn rate of less than 50%

Sen. John McCain: $13M-15M
-- cash on hand should be north of $14M assuming a burn rate of less than 50%

Gov. Mike Huckabee: $2M-4M

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2007/06/some_second_quarter_fundraisin.php

[William769]

1. I actually gave to John Edwards campaign this month.

[rhombus]

2. Marc Ambinder is a hack

I know for sure he's setting Obama up for a fall. If you've read him closely since his days at National Journal's Hotline blog, he has been unusually harsh on Obama. I don't trust him one bit.

[flpoljunkie]

4. He is "leaking" these early numbers, and it would be instructive to know where he got them.

Don't trust any of these politico, either.

[SaveElmer]

3. Look at Democrats compared to Republicans

I didn't add it up to be sure...but it looks like Clinton and Obama alone would outraise the entire Republican field!!!