Romney Catches McCain in National Poll for GOP Nomination

[skipos]

Tuesday, May 29, 2007
The immigration reform debate may be shaking up the race for the Republican Presidential nomination. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney has inched past Arizona Senator John McCain for second place in the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone poll. Just two weeks ago, Romney was in fourth place among GOP hopefuls.

Dame Rudy 25%, Romney 16%, McCain 15%, F. Thompson 12%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/2008_republican_presidential_primary

[TwilightGardener]

1. Skipos, I know this makes you happy, the prospect of facing Romney.

I'm a little uneasy...

[skipos]

3. Of all their frontrunners, who would be easier to beat?

Voters like candidates with hero status, no matter how phony. I think that that is the reason that Dame Rudy and McCain still poll well, even beating some of our candidates. And there have been numerous polls from blue states that show how competitive Dame Rudy would be in them. Dame Rudy and Romney might lose some of the fundy vote, but only Dame Rudy has shown independent appeal.

[TwilightGardener]

4. I don't count out Dame Rudy (love that)--he is the most consistently

genuine of the big three, and I can see where he might pull in more Indies--BUT I think the shine is already wearing off of his heroism (which was questionable to begin with, and hardly the basis for a campaign). Romney is the kind of guy who doesn't even TRY to appear genuine--he will gladly "look you in the eye with a big fat lie" and smile while doing it. You almost start to trust his very phoniness as a consistent part of his character, and thus begin to overlook it or not feel betrayed by another flip-flop. It's who he is. People might be so used to it by 2008 they won't care about anything except for his sunny optimism and presidential looks.

[Doctor_J]

6. The ultra-cons won't vote for him either

My daughter has an aquaintance who is employed as an ultra-right-wing propagandist (he's a devout Catholic). He told her that he would abstain or vote 3rd party before voting for Ghouliani. Rudy's three marriages, and pro-choice and pro-war stances, have alienated him to real Cons.

[TwilightGardener]

7. That's what I'm hoping--if Rudy's the nominee, they will stay home in disgust

or vote third-party. Sometimes I just don't know which troglodyte to root for!

[Doctor_J]

2. MSM is campaigning for Romney

I saw a Time cover the other day with a giant pic of Multiple-choice Mitt on it. Inside was a a campaign ad disguised as journalism. I had a flashback to 1999 when they started ramming Smirk down our throats.

[SoonerPride]

5. Romneymentum

Romney will most likely end up the GOP nominee, maninly diue to Rudy's social issues stances.

He likes look a snake.

Perfect for the Rupukes.

[foo_bar]

8. it's going to be Romney's to lose

Giuliani is a paper tiger, like Joementum's poll numbers in 2002 or McCain prior to South Carolina. Whatever base of support he draws in national surveys comes from a handful of densely populated states with proportionally less representation in an RNC, which heavily favors Wyoming over New York in terms of delegate:voter ratio. In the interim Rudy will be shredded into tiny ribbons by broken glass repubs as soon as they're given their marching orders (re: fast talking New Yorker with no "values voter" creds, big Yankees fan, Catholic, ...). The LDS connection seems less perilous, as I've never seen a Jack Chick tract devoted to Mormons cavorting with Beelzebub:


(after much Tooth Fairy related heartache...)