Kerry Set to Romp In Tennessee; Builds Wide Coalition; New Zogby poll
Feb 7-8
MA Senator John Kerry 45
NC Senator John Edwards 21
Retired General Wesley K. Clark 19
Former VT Governor Howard Dean 5
Civil Rights Activist Rev. Al Sharpton 2
OH Congressman Dennis Kucinich 0.1
Undecided *
May not add up to 100%, due to rounding *In today's release, Leaners among the Undecideds have been factored in. Without Leaners, the percentage of Undecideds is 12%.
<snip>
"Tennessee was a Red State in 2000. In a match-up against President Bush among Democrats alone, Kerry leads by an 84% to 7% margin."
there are more republicans here than Democrats,and the reps. vote.What we are seeing now is the typical Tn. voters rationale.Tn. voters tend to go with the frontrunner.For Kerry to have a fraction of a chance in the GE agianst Bush in November.The national polling would have to show Kerry with a sizeable lead agianst Bush. Tn is not a Rep state or a Dem state.It is a state that goes with winners.Tn has went with the winners over the last 7 pres. elections.If Kerry is only got a 5pt or less lead over Bush or lord forbid Kerry is behind or even with Bush,Kerry will lose Tn I guarantee it. The formula for Tn is have a big lead if your a Dem.just stay close or lead if your a Rep. and you will win.
3. Of course, Zogby didn't report the other numbers
so we don't know figures for Kerry vs Bush among Independents and Republicans. But if it is similar to what we've seen in other states, things look good for the Dems in November.
My point is that it is just a poll. However the media has treated this poll as if the race has already been decided in TN & VA. That is something to get excited about.
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