Zogby : "Kerry Set to Romp in Virginia, Tennessee; Builds Wide Coalition"

[flpoljunkie]

http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=805

Virginia: Kerry 47%, Edwards 24%, Clark 11%, Dean 10%, Sharpton 3%, Kucinich 2%
Tennessee: Kerry 45%, Edwards 21%, Clark 19%, Dean 5%, Shaprton 2%, Kucinich .2%

Pollster John Zogby: "This year's frontloaded primary schedule appears to have worked well in favor of the front-runner -- as it apparently was intended to. It has become very much a sequential process as the winner in Iowa got a big bounce into New Hampshire, and the challengers had only a week to regroup. The same happened in succeeding weeks. While Edwards spent his time well in South Carolina and Clark did the same in Oklahoma, the fact is that the truncated schedule has worked well for the man who kept on winning. There has not been enough time for the challengers to raise enough money, spend time on the ground, or build upon free publicity because they could not cover enough states in a short time span. With all of this said, Kerry keeps on rolling.

"Kerry's victories are not based on any one or two sub-groups. His support is wide and deep. He has shown that he can hold all strands of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents together. This is particularly stunning when we consider that exactly one month ago (January 9), my Iowa polling had him at barely 15 points, well behind both Dean and Gephardt.

"Again and again, the principal factor is Kerry's rise and coalition is his electability. In both states, he leads the other candidates in strength of support and in the perception that He can defeat the President.

"Note to pundits and historians: in 2004, Iowa and New Hampshire mattered. ”

[ringmastery]

1. wow

If Kerry wins TN and VA by that wide a margin and Clark places third in both states, it really is all over. I see Clark leaving the race that night. Edwards is probably finished too.

[cryofan]

4. yeah, it's over. Kerry has the nomination. I just hope he picks Clark or

...edwards for VP.

I will be pissed if he picks some conservation insider for VP.

[molly]

2. Great news!

:kick:

[underpants]

3. Kerry? Win in the south?

But but I was told that couldn't happen. Oh I guess it can and it will be easier to come back in here (Va.) during the GE.

I still think I am voting for Edwards tomorrow.

[BruinAlum]

5. Put a fork in it

[Shanty Oilish]

6. Is Zogby usually close to accurate?

I look at his results now and then but I keep him on short-term memory. Has he been pretty accurate? Kind of hard to believe Kerry would out-do Edwards 2-to-1 in those states.
Not that I mind :)