What about this Pew study the wingnuts are trumpeting?

[Adenoid_Hynkel]

I keep hearing rightwing media people claiming that it proves that they not only won't suffer losses, but will not make gains

[villager]

1. what about the other polls that they won't?

Be vigilant during these last 48 hours...

[Freedom_from_Chains]

2. Just go and vote and see who is trumpeting what

on Wednesday morning.

[LA lady]

3. here

http://pewresearch.org/reports/?ReportID=66

[still_one]

4. Everything else flys in the face of that

Why would you believe reightwing media

[snot]

5. Pew is generally held out as "liberal" institution

although I haven't seen much evidence of that lately.

[still_one]

8. They are wrong about this, and that is NOT just wishful thinking

undecideds will go our way

[gully]

6. It's a national poll that shows Dems in a 4 point lead. Their celebration

is obviously out of desperation.

[still_one]

10. In that poll it says 10% are undecided, which I also find hard to believe

I prefer an analysis of individual races:

http://www.pollster.com/house.php

[featherman]

7. An "outlier" on the national generic question... hard to give it much

validity without a deep look into its internals. Meaningless at this point, IMO. But if you want to factor it in the guessing game combine it with the TIME poll (11/1-11/3) which shows the DEMs generically up 15... so averaging just these two give the DEMS a 9.5% lead in the generic.
As I said...meaningless. The whole deal is on the ground now... turnout wins.

[fearnobush]

9. The Time poll taken durning the same time as Pew Gives Dems a 55% to 40% lead.

National polls will vary from one pollster to the next. Point is they vary. Please forgive the Murdock link: <http://www.nypost.com/seven/11052006/news/nationalnews/poll_puts_dems_lead_at_15_pts__nationalnews_chris_michaud.htm>

[aquart]

11. Good. We want them to feel smug and comfy.

So comfy that they won't feel they have to compromise their own consciences with a vote for those nasty corrupt people who are nothing like they promised. Yes, indeedy. We want them to feel secure.

[Vorta]

12. I'm not a statistician.....but

.... if it is true, as has been said here and elsewhere, that your smarter folks don't waste their time answering polls and surveys (especially telehpne polls) ......AND , if it turns out that the predictions based on these studies are correct.......DOES it not mean that the same percentage of smart people vote for anus-crevice Republicans as idiots do?

This would not be encouraging from a state of humanity standpoint.

[donco6]

13. I don't know ANY smart people who vote for anus-crevices.

Just sayin'

[cobaindrain]

14. it's the only cherry they could pick today

[Lindacooks]

15. It was weighted more heavily to repukes, the opposite

of other polls. That's the ONLY reason it's more favorable to the little weasels.