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KOBUK Donating Member (103 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 04:23 PM
Original message
I have a prediction in the up coming election !
Every close contest will break for the Republican.What makes
me think this,maybe 2004 ?
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RobertSeattle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 04:24 PM
Response to Original message
1. I'll be your contrarian
All close ones will break Democrat. Starting November 8th, Republicans will be "born again" paper ballot backup evangelists.
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Toeg Donating Member (20 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 04:36 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Republicans will win the close ones
The formula goes much deeper than just electronic voting machines. There are phony lists of felons that are still used. There are long lines in minority and poor areas used to discourage people from voting. There are provisional ballots that give the impression that one has voted, but are never counted.
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candice Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 06:14 PM
Response to Reply #4
13. And all of the potentially Democratic voters "purged" from the lists
see/hear the October 31st "Democracy Now" (an iTunes free podcast) for the interview with Bob Fritakis and Wasserman). It's illegal but there must be a lot to fear in a Democratic victory for those who will use illegal means to win.
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Toeg Donating Member (20 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 08:31 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. Democracy Now! is fantastic
I listen to it everyday coming to work.

http://www.democracynow.org/

You can watch it as well at the above site.

The neocons are principally Republican ubberright, though there are conservative Dems who are also part of the fray. For these neocons to stay in power, they need the total support of all three branches of the government. That's a lot more easily accomplished by ensuring that the Reps win all elections. They barely squeaked by in 2000, and that was after preparing since 1994 with scandal after scandal against the Dems (okay, it was basically Clinton, but it worked). They first started with that illegal list in Florida that banned over 50,000 voters, mainly minorities and poor, from voting. They did the same thing, btw, in Mexico.

The name of the company is Choicepoint, and here is an article on their activities:

http://archive.salon.com/politics/feature/2000/12/04/voter_file/print.html

Amy Goodman is a fantastic presenter, and the choice of material is always well presented and deep.
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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-05-06 01:53 PM
Response to Reply #4
25. Hi Toeg!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
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Toeg Donating Member (20 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-07-06 01:43 AM
Response to Reply #25
53. Thanks
It looks like complacency has taken hold here.

WTF??

It's time to stir the populace.

Let's get at it.

:toast:
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 04:25 PM
Response to Original message
2. I have a different prediction......every close contest will break for Dems....
Edited on Fri Nov-03-06 04:39 PM by FrenchieCat
What makes me think this, maybe the fact that it's 2006, not 2004.....

Well, why, you might ask?

First watch this...http://kdka.com/video/?id=21579@kdka.dayport.com and add PA-18 to the list at the bottom....

and then think about these folks: Ney, Cunningham, DeLay, Folley, Hastert, Doolittle, Abramoff, etc....

Indeed, here are 34 Republican scandals worthy of further attention, gathered into one place. The list focuses on scandals involving apparently illegal activity or violations of ethics codes. Not everything that is politically, legally or ethically scandalous constitutes a scandal.

The scandal: Potential influence peddling to the tune of $82 million, for starters. Jack Abramoff, a GOP lobbyist and major Bush fundraiser, and Michael Scanlon, a former aide to Rep. Tom DeLay (R-Texas), received that amount from several Indian tribes, while offering access to lawmakers. For instance, Texas' Tigua tribe, which wanted its closed El Paso casino reopened, gave millions to the pair and $33,000 to Rep. Robert Ney (R-Ohio) in hopes of favorable legislation (Ney came up empty). And get this: The Tiguas were unaware that Abramoff, Scanlon and conservative activist Ralph Reed had earned millions lobbying to have the same casino shut in 2002.

The scandal: One of DeLay's political action committees, Texans for a Republican Majority, apparently reaped illegal corporate contributions for the campaigns of Republicans running for the Texas Legislature in 2002. Given a Republican majority, the Legislature then re-drew Texas' U.S. congressional districts to help the GOP.


The scandal: In 2002, with a tight Senate race in New Hampshire, Republican Party officials paid a Virginia-based firm, GOP Marketplace, to enact an Election Day scheme meant to depress Democratic turnout by "jamming" the Democratic Party phone bank with continuous calls for 90 minutes.

The scandal: Bush and many officials in his administration made false statements about Iraq's military capabilities, in the months before the United States' March 2003 invasion of the country.

The scandal: American soldiers physically tortured prisoners in Iraq and kept undocumented "ghost detainees" in the Abu Ghraib prison in Iraq.

The problem: The United States is party to the Geneva Conventions, which state that "No physical or mental torture, nor any other form of coercion, may be inflicted on prisoners of war to secure from them information of any kind whatever."

The scandal: Hurricane Katrina - Bush and Brownie - nuff said!

The scandal: Scooter Libby, RE: Valerie Plame

The Scandal: Chiavo; attempts to legislate for just one person!

The scandal: on and on and on and on.....

The Dems should take the open seats in AZ-08, CO-07, FL-13, FL-16, IA-01, MN-06, NY-24, TX-22, where they are leading, and at least one or two more that are closer--IL-06, OH-18 or WI-08, and then maybe even CO-05, ID-01, or NE-03....

Then the Dems should knock off IN-08 (Hostettler), IN-02 (Chocola), NC-11 (Taylor), NM-01 (Wilson), OH-15 (Pryce), PA-06 (Gerlach), 07 (Weldon) and 10 (Sherwood). Maybe in CT 02 (Simmons) or CT-04 (Shays) or both, maybe FL-22 (Shaw), KY-03 (Northrop) or KY-04 (Davis), or NY-26 (Reynolds). Maybe VA-02 (Drake) or WA-08 (Reichert), AZ-01, AZ-05, CA-11, CA-50, CT-05, IN-09, KY-02, MN-01, NJ-07, OH-01, OH-02, CO-04, IL-10, NC-08, NH-02, NV-02, NY-03, 19, 20, 25, 29, PA-04, PA-08, and even KS-02, MT-AL, NE-01, NV-03, VA-10, WA-05 and WY-AL, With some margin for error, including one or two Dem seats lost, that is enough to give the Dems control.
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KOBUK Donating Member (103 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 04:44 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. Thanks, for the information !
I hope your correct. I will be staying up late on Tuesday watching the results.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 05:45 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. more food for thought!
Ad Challenges Voters To Read List Of GOP Scandals In One Breath...

Video:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2006/11/02/ad-challenges-voters-to-r_n_33119.html
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dmosh42 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-05-06 12:10 PM
Response to Reply #2
24. I see a strong grassroots turnout for the Dems! 40 seats
Plus contol in the Senate!
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Bucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 05:52 PM
Response to Reply #2
46. You scandal list is nice. I think the main point is that, break or not, the machines will report GOP
Is Chiavo related to Schiavo?
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blm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 04:26 PM
Response to Original message
3. Unlike 2004, DNC is acting to secure election process.
We have stronger basic infrastructure now that had been left to collapse since 1997 by previous DNC leaders.
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Toeg Donating Member (20 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 04:38 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Don't get your hopes up
The felon lists all point in one direction. The lack of voting booths in poor and minority areas only discriminate against one side. Provisional ballots that are never counted are used to keep Democrats from voting, not Republicans.
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saracat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 04:36 PM
Response to Original message
5. Nonsense. It is the reverse.
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 04:44 PM
Response to Original message
7. Your prediction is the only reason I'm cautiously optimistic
The fact is that the close ones did break for the GOP in 2004 with the exception of Colorado. And frankly that's the fault of Pete Coors for some of his braindead mistakes.

I remember in 2004 believing that we were going to take back the senate once Kentucky came into play because the little green men invaded Bunning's head. We wound up with a net loss of four seats.

I think that Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Rhode Island are going to go our way because the margins are far wider than 2004. New Jersey I'm not concerned about because it was close in 2004 and 2005 but broke our way moreso than the polls predicted. Montana I believe will go our way because Burns hasn't taken the lead in any poll.

But as far as winning two more out of Virginia, Tennessee, Missouri, or Arizona (which I believe is to this year as Kentucky was to 2004), I'm not absolutely confident in our ability to pull it out in the close races. It will depend on if the polls are not just hype and whether the GOP base is really so upset that they will stay home on election day. I'm hearing some good process stories out of Virginia and Arizona which get my hopes up but not enough to feel like we will pull it out in the Senate.

The House I think that we will win because the GOP needs to pull it out in too many close races in which they are down.
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AikidoSoul Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 04:48 PM
Response to Original message
9. Kobuk is right. I predict the Repugniks will win, by just enough
The election system is rigged and nothing can stop them. 40% of the machines are now computerized. HAVA mandated this -- and think of it, this was under the guise of insuring that the disabled could vote. Republicans don't give a hoot for the disabled... it was a scam from the beginning. And two of the largest disability organizations pushed for Diebold machines behind the scenes with huge contributions to those orgs coming from Diebold. These orgs threatened to sue different election officials in each state unless they went along with their recommendations. This is the truth.

Nothing can make computerized voting machines safe -- absolutely nothing. Even Avi Ruben top level Johns Hopkins University computer security scientist -- said so on last Friday's Science Friday... after 6 years of beating his head on this problem. He said the only way to insure a chance at making the elections secure was to use paper, and not computers for voting. He now joins others in the computer business including other computer scientists that they called wacky for recommending paper.

AND....Comptuer security expert Dan Wallach from Rice University, Houston, TX --FINALLY admitted that all of the problems they've seen so far with computerized voting machines HAS FAVORED REPUBLICANS. The word he used is "ALL"....

Now tell me. How are we going to ask the same people who were elected by this corrupt system, to mandate one that is fair.

Huh?

:banghead: :banghead: :headbang: :headbang: :headbang: :headbang: :banghead: :banghead: :banghead: :banghead: :banghead: :banghead: :banghead: :banghead: :banghead: :banghead: :banghead: :banghead:

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TankLV Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 10:11 PM
Response to Reply #9
18. all of the problems they've seen so far with computerized voting machines HAS FAVORED REPUBLICANS
Gee, not according to our own "expert" LIAR "Fredda"!

Can't imagine why she would insist on her version of the truth!
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Stinky The Clown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 05:49 PM
Response to Original message
11. We're DOOOOOOMED! Doomed, I tell ya! DOOOOOOOOOMED.
Just can it, okay?
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Bucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 05:53 PM
Response to Reply #11
47. Don't worry. Be happy.
Happy happy happy happy
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SaveElmer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 05:54 PM
Response to Original message
12. Gawwwwwddddddd....PLEASE....

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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 06:18 PM
Response to Original message
14. There were close races in 2004 that broke for Democrats too
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Toeg Donating Member (20 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 08:42 PM
Response to Reply #14
16. Uh, slack
I don't think that pointing to an entire list of election results of all candidates is very conducive to proving whatever point you might have. I checked the first five states and didn't find one single example of what you speak. If you want to peruse the other 45 states, be my guest.

The point here is that the Republican Party stole MANY elections in 2004. This has been proven beyond a shadow of a doubt. They used electronic voting machines that were subsequently hacked. They used illegal felony lists that kept legally registered voters, mainly minorities and poor, from voting. They created long and imposing lines of voters in the poorer and minority precincts across the US. All this has been documented and proven.

The fact that a Democrat or two might have squeaked by regardless of these shenanigans is not a surprise. After all, we are talking about 536 elections. It would look really funny if the Republicans won EVERY single one.
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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-03-06 09:36 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. Wouldn't that be something?
If the computers all *glitched* and the House went total republican?

Ya think everyone would believe us then? I doubt it.
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Toeg Donating Member (20 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-04-06 12:52 AM
Response to Reply #17
19. BeFree
Edited on Sat Nov-04-06 12:53 AM by Toeg
You wrote this:

"If the computers all *glitched* and the House went total
Republican

 Ya think everyone would believe us then? I doubt it."

WTF???

Who is this "us" you speak of??

Why would you promote a totally senseless and impossible
example to promote your concept of "everyone would
believe us ... not!"??

Please speak in terms of reality and planet Earth. It would be
much easier to discuss the issues then.

B-) 
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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-04-06 08:55 AM
Response to Reply #19
20. Who are you?
Are you one of us, or one of them? I think, if you were one of us, you wouldn't be talking to me like that.

Since you don't seem to be one of us, let me very simply define us.

Us are those who believe the elections have been stolen and have since endured all kinds of abuse from people who have their heads up their asses and won't even consider the idea that elections were stolen.

Discuss.
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Toeg Donating Member (20 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-04-06 05:17 PM
Response to Reply #20
21. Calm down
Edited on Sat Nov-04-06 05:18 PM by Toeg
I was merely suggesting that your example lacked reality. What you propose will never happen in a million years, so why propose it.

btw, I'm probably not one of "us." I am probably much farther left of center than "us."

I've lived in Switzerland and Mexico, as well as being born and raised in California. I have seen MANY political systems besides Democrat and Republican. Should you wish to debate any of these systems, past or present, I'd be more than happy to join in it.

My ideology of what the US REALLY is, is based on a speech by John Quincy Adams:

http://www.thisnation.com/library/jqadams1821.html

"But (America) goes not abroad, in search of monsters to destroy.

She is the well-wisher to the freedom and independence of all.

She is the champion and vindicator only of her own.

She will commend the general cause by the countenance of her voice, and the benignant sympathy of her example.

She well knows that by once enlisting under other banners than her own, were they even the banners of foreign independence, she would involve herself beyond the power of extrication, in all the wars of interest and intrigue, of individual avarice, envy, and ambition, which assume the colors and usurp the standard of freedom. The fundamental maxims of her policy would insensibly change from liberty to force....

She might become the dictatress of the world. She would be no longer the ruler of her own spirit....

< America's> glory is not dominion, but liberty. Her march is the march of the mind. She has a spear and a shield: but the motto upon her shield is, Freedom, Independence, Peace. This has been her Declaration: this has been, as far as her necessary intercourse with the rest of mankind would permit, her practice."

The above speech bespeaks of my America. What "America" do you live in??
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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-04-06 07:19 PM
Response to Reply #21
22. Why I oughtta.....
Hah! Calm as a glacial lake, here.

I knew you weren't one of us. Us, not U.S., are the ones who have labored on DU for years now. Labored against the head-in-the-sand, *cain't see no stolen elections* sheeple, who made fun of us, called us all kinds of names, and even went to far as to try to form a phalanx opposing us.

But we were right, Kerry was elected, as was Gore. You wouldn't believe how many people back then didn't believe Al Gore or John Kerry won!

Well, all that's changed now. Oh, there are a few diehards left these days who still believe that Al Gore and John Kerry and Dems, are losers, but those days are numbered.

Most people are with us now.

But the America I live in is one that thinks Al Gore and John Kerry lost and so there's work to be done. We got DU going straight, now we move the country.

Are you with us? I think you are, you just hadn't realized it yet.

Welcome to DU. My screen name is BeFree, and that's what I do in real life, in America, on the land of being free.
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Toeg Donating Member (20 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-05-06 03:31 PM
Response to Reply #22
26. Understood
I applaud your effort. The sheeple are many, and they much prefer to be lead by the hand and told what to think and who to hate, rather than actually read and understand on their own.

Just understand that I'm a free thinker. I've seen how other political systems and other countries operate, so I tend to look at things from a global perspective, not a strict 50-state perspective. For example, you claim you are free. In reality, there are a lot of freedoms you don't have. Free basic health care is only one of many examples.

My son was born in Mexico City at six months two weeks on November 13, 1981. He weighed 1.5 pounds and wasn't considered to live more than 72 hours. They actually performed the caesarian to save my exe's life. My son was in an incubator for the first year of his life. They eventually performed three operations on him. Do you know how much all this medical attention cost me??

NOTHING, NADA, ZERO.

Mexico's a third-world nation, true. But the basic health care that saved both my ex and my son was free to me because I was a worker in Mexico. My son will turn 25 soon, and he is as normal and healthy as anyone. How can a third-world nation give freedoms we refuse to even pursue here in the US??

So I applaud your effort here, but be forewarned that if I see something that doesn't jibe with what I believe our founding fathers meant for our nation, I will speak out.

btw, my screen name, Toeg, comes from an old Beatnik term meaning, "Together." I also have a five-minute spot on a Vermont website where I speak about the important issues of the day. I'll give you the link if you're interested in hearing me or reading the text.
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mtnsnake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-05-06 03:43 PM
Response to Reply #19
27. Do you have to work at being so arrogant, or does it come naturally?
For someone with only a few posts under his belt you sure do think a lot of yourself. lol
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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-05-06 12:02 PM
Response to Reply #16
23. "Stolen elections" is being used as an excuse
Edited on Sun Nov-05-06 12:08 PM by slackmaster
I don't doubt that elections have been stolen, through traditional means like registration fraud and intimidation adn ballot box stuffing. But attributing EVERY loss in close races to theft avoids taking responsibility for things we could have done better - Getting more people registered, getting out the vote, picking the right messages and getting them out effectively, etc.

They used electronic voting machines that were subsequently hacked.

Your sentence is true as written, but there is no proof that hacking of electronic voting machines has been used to alter election results, and the machines on which hacking was demonstrated are no longer in use (certainly not in my state, where they all must have a paper audit trail that gets verified by the voters).
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AikidoSoul Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-05-06 09:18 PM
Response to Reply #23
28. You are in denial and I'm posting a special message about it
I'm new to this group and have been inspired by a lot I read here... but already I think the
honeymoon is fading and a kind of sad reality is creeping in. I now realize that not
all DUers are very smart, or willing to face the facts. I guess I shouldn't have hoped for
everyone to be brilliant.... but what I'm seeing now is actually very disturbing.

Far too many DUers are in denial, or haven't been willing to do adequate research... or are
listening to too much propaganda, because they still don't get it that the elections are being
stolen. It sickens me to see DUers being conned... or whatever else is going on in their heads.

No matter what the reason. In the final analysis, this denial is dangerous. Here we are getting
ready to count the votes... and they still are not willing to face facts. This group is causing
division and doubt... and will dilute any possibility to change our future in this county if it
continues. This is a battle for our lives, and doubters will kill the battle.

I've studied computer voting since 2001 and have spent thousands of hours digging and talking
to other experts about these problems. I don't know how DUers and like-minded progressives
are EVER going to develop a viable strategy to take this country back if a substantial
portion of us don't face reality and admit there's a problem.

I don't get how this denial can persist in such smart people. It has to be the type of denial that you
cling to because it's just too much to handle psychologically. Maybe those big liberal
hearts get in the way of reality.

Or do some DUer's think Democracy is somehow untouchable? Do they have the silly idea that
systems designed and managed by partisan and special interests-- are free from criminal
manipulation? Or is it that they think that although there are evil politicians that have a "the end
justifies the means" modus operandi --- that they just can't bring themselves to believe that
these criminals would go so far as to trash Democracy... just to become the most powerful
people in the world, and get their hands on the biggest stash of cash in the world.... the
U.S. Treasury...? (at least it used to the biggest before 2001). What... that's not a big
enough prize?!

You really don't have to be a computer expert to get this, but there are plenty of us
around who have given our input on the extremely serious problems with computerized
methods of voting, and NONE of us have maintained that fraud is not readily possible.

So how come so many DUers have discounted the possibility of fraud? And though computer scientists
from universities are conservative and won't stick their necks out much, many privately discuss the
fact that fraud has indeed taken place. NONE have publicly excluded the possibility of fraud, and
yet DUers are clinging to a belief that all is well... which is kinda crazy.

A few days ago in a private e-mail to another voting fraud activist, computer security expert Dan Wallach
of Rice University, Houston was asked whether he would please make a statement about which party the
visible voting problems most often benefited. Wallach said, "All the reports I've seen have generally been
at the expense of Democrats."

FINALLY! a computer scientist with balls to state the obvious. We sent this e-mail far and wide, but so
far I haven't heard anything at all about Wallach being called to repeat it for the cameras.

A week ago Avi Ruben of Johns Hopkins University finally admitted in an NPR interview, that after years
of research that he's concluded that the only safe voting method is the use of paper ballots -- NOT computers,
and not even computers with paper receipts (as university scientists had promoted for so long).

This new stand came out way too late in my opinion.

Fraud has happened and it is very obvious to all of us who look closely at the problem that it has.
But you have to realize that it has not been talked about overtly by scientists as often as it should
because it's scary for conservative university scientists to look at all these disturbing patterns and
feel comfortable saying, "FRAUD!!! FRAUD!!! Democracy is stolen!!!

Mainly it's because they need to keep from ever straying for even a moment from the strict confines of
observable science and proof. They also have to continue to promote computers if they are to continue
to get grants and research funding from the computer/ software industry. Their bellies get soft and timid
too when they think the possibility of losing tenure. Taking risks is not a comfortable thing for these guys.

But now a few of the scientists are taking chances and speaking out. They realize that the disgusting
catch 22 of these voting systems never allowing for forensics... they realize that this is a trap that is
ensnaring all of us, including them. They don't want to go down in history as the world's greatest wimps
who let Democracy slip away. So even though the forensics cannot be performed and it can't be definitively
proven -- they see the patterns over, and over, and over -- and have to assume that the systems are
designed for fraud... because EVERYTHING SUGGESTS THAT THIS IS TRUE

If you want to hear Ruben's statement in an NPR Science Friday episode, you can download the short
interview here (see tiny word "voting" in the box at right under "ARCHIVED AUDIO":

http://www.sciencefriday.com/pages/2006/Oct/hour1_102706.html

And DUers In Denial ---don't cling to that absurd, lame crap about how voting today is really not different from
the past and that "there has always been fraud in elections"... because if you do so you are being enormously
obtuse!

It should take you ten seconds to realize that the current system is MUCH different. It's no longer that
bad, old fashioned equal opportunity vote fraud like in the good old days. Vote fraud today is hugely
different because THE SYSTEMS ARE OWNED AND CONTROLLED BY PARTISANS AND BECAUSE
VOTES ARE CAST USING COMPUTERS -- THIS MAKES THE SHEER SCALE AND PRECISION
OF THE THEFT POTENTIALLY HUGE (!!!) COMPARED WITH DAYS OF OLD. AND...THERE IS
CURRENTLY NO RELIABLE METHOD IN PLACE TO CATCH THE FRAUD, AND NO WAY TO
DO FORENSICS TO PROVE IT OCCURRED.

It is the perfect crime.

For those DUers who are still doubting Thomasinas... you gotta do some homework. You can start with
what's outlined below for your convenience, along with links. Please do this. Our Democracy may
depend on you changing your minds and getting your brains and hearts in sync and in gear about this issue.

****************************

Here's a list of comments from computer scientists compiled by mathematician Kathy Dopp:

*************************************************************************
What do the Experts Say?


“Only real recounts (cross-checking paper records against official tabulations), not just rereading machine
totals, will resolve close elections.” October, 2006 The American Statistical Association
http://www.amstat.org/news/StatisticalIssuesInElections.pdf

“Computer viruses … can spread malicious software automatically and invisibly from
machine to machine during normal pre- and post-election activity” and “even careful forensic
examination of these records will find nothing amiss” “anyone who has physical access to a voting
machine or to a memory card can install said malicious software in as little as one minute.” “some of
these problems cannot be remedied without replacing the machine’s hardware.” Princeton University
Computer Scientist Ed Felton http://itpolicy.princeton.edu/voting/

“Technicians or election officials could be producing infected memory cards without any knowledge
of what they were doing.” “We’ll never have secure machines if the vendors succeed in keeping the
inner workings of their machines secret from the security experts…. Secrecy is not the road to
security.” “The Princeton report describes two attacks: a vote-altering attack and a Denial-of-Service
attack” Yale University Computer Scientist Dr. Michael Fischer
http://www.verifiedvotingfoundation.org/article.php?id=6387

“The current generation of electronic (DRE) voting machines are not secure, do not provide voters
with a way to know that their votes are being tabulated correctly, and do not provide a mechanism for
effective recounts when errors arise. As such, they represent an unacceptable technical risk, regardless
of how people feel about them.” Brigham Young University & University of Utah Computer
Scientists (Carter, Windley, Brundvand, Gopalakrishnan, Hanscom, Jones, Lee, Regehr, Seamons, Shirley,
Drake) http://utahcountvotes.org/voting_system_advice.pdf

“The basic problem of e-voting can be understood without an in-depth knowledge of computer
technology. Here is a helpful analogy: Suppose voters dictated their votes, privately and anonymously,
to human scribes, and that the voters were prevented from inspecting the work of the scribes. Few
would accept such a system, on simple common-sense grounds. Obviously, the scribes could
accidentally or intentionally mis-record the votes with no consequences. Without accountability, a
system is simply not trustworthy, whether or not computers are involved. “ and “You don't need a
Ph.D. in computer science to understand the basic problem with computerized voting. Computer
systems are so complex that no one really knows what goes on inside them. We don't know how to
find all the errors in a computer system; we don't know how to make sure that a system is secure or
that it hasn't been corrupted (possibly even by its designers); and we don't know how to ensure that the
systems in use are running the software they are supposed to be running.“ Stanford Computer
Scientist David Dill http://www.verifiedvoting.org/article.php?id=5789

“Diebold’s system is utterly unsecured. The entire cyber-security community is begging them to
come back to reality and secure our nation’s voting.” Pentagon Cyber-Security Advisor Stephen
Spoonamore http://abcnews.go.com/WNT/Technology/story?id=2596705&page=2

“We conclude that this voting system is unsuitable for use in a general election.” Johns
Hopkins University Professor of Computer Science Avi Rubin in a paper presented at the 2004
IEEE Symposium on Security and Privacy.

Kathy Dopp http://utahcountvotes.org/docs/WhatdotheExpertsSay.pdf 11/3/06

“There are no standards. There is no scientific research … there’s an erosion of voting rights implicit
in the inability to trust the technology that we use and if we were another country being analyzed by
America, we would conclude that this country is ripe for stealing elections and for fraud.” DeForest
Soaries, Former US Election Assistance Commission Chairman 2004-2006 (appointed by Bush)

“Many of the hard drives and apparently all of the motherboards of the voting machines are Made in
China. China is known to be attacking the Dept of Defense, Commerce Dept and other government
computers. The motherboard controls the computer and hiding a malicious program in the boot sector
of a hard drive isn’t much of a trick, one has to assume that some or all of the Diebold voting
machines are potentially, even probably controlled by China (Security 101).” And “Diebold is based
on Microsoft Windows. No other operating system in the world is as subject to so many viruses,
Trojan horses, hack tools, worms, or other attacks..” and “Diebold has repeatedly used uncertified and
untested software and hardware in elections, making a mockery of even the weak certification and
testing procedures in place.” And “Diebold has repeatedly failed to correct known security flaws and
software bugs.” and “It has become easy to determine that a Diebold representative is dissembling.
His, or her lips are moving.” Dr. Charles Corry, Colorado Springs, CO, former IEEE (the Institute
of Electrical and Electronics Engineers) member of the voting system guidelines committee for 4
years (& former Marine corporal) October, 2006

“Some believe that computer touch screen machines are the future of electoral systems, but the
technology simply fails to pass the test of reliability. As anyone who uses one can attest, computers
break down, get viruses, lose information, and corrupt data. We know this to be the case, and so we
back-up our files to ensure nothing important is lost. Paper ballots serve as the ultimate back-up for
our elections, providing secure and permanent verification of the will of the people….When a vote is
cast, a vote should be counted. With paper ballots we will have a record. With paper ballots the
fundamental principle of one person, one vote is safe.” Democratic Governor Bill Richardson – NM
http://utahcountvotes.org/US/GovRichardsonLtr20060301.pdf

Maryland Gov. Robert L. Ehrlich Jr. (R) called for the state to scrap its $106 million electronic voting
apparatus and revert to a paper ballot system for the November <2006> election. "When in doubt, go
paper, go low-tech," he said. Ehrlich advocated leasing optical scan machines that use paper ballots…
Republican Governor Robert Ehrlich – MD Washington Post Thursday, September 21, 2006

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/09/20/AR2006092001356.html

“All three voting systems have significant security and reliability vulnerabilities, which pose a real
danger to the integrity of national, state, and local elections.” and “Few jurisdictions have
implemented any of the key countermeasures that could make the least difficult attacks against voting
systems much more difficult to execute successfully.” The Brennan Center (NYU Law School)

Experts include statistical consultant, professor University of California at Davis; Electronic Privacy Information Center;
professor Stanford University, PhD, Cyber Defense Agency LLC; former CEO of F-Secure PLC; Lawrence Livermore
National Laboratory and Chair of the California Secretary of State’s Voting Systems Technology Assessment and Advisory
Board; prof. University of Iowa; PhD NIST; PhD, NIST; prof. MIT; Former Chief Security Officer, Microsoft and eBay;
Counterpane Internet Security; PhD, formerly of the Computer Science; Artificial Intelligence Laboratory at MIT; prof.
University of California at Berkeley; prof. Rice University; Electronic Frontier Foundation

http://www.brennancenter.org/programs/downloads/SecurityExecSum7-3.pdf

“It seems that integrity and honesty aren’t terribly important at Diebold…” and “We send people to death row
on flimsier and more circumstantial evidence…” “How much are you willing to pay for secure trustworthy
elections?” “What more would these machines have to do to prove they’re dangerous, whistle Dixie while they
miscount our votes?” Andrew Kantor, technology writer for USAToday, former editor PC Magazine and
Internet World. http://www.usatoday/tech/columnist/andrewkantor/2006-09-29-diebold_x.htm

Kathy Dopp http://utahcountvotes.org/docs/WhatdotheExpertsSay.pdf 11/3/06
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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-05-06 10:05 PM
Response to Reply #28
30. You are an Amateur Internet Psychologist.
:nuke:
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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-05-06 10:12 PM
Response to Reply #30
33. Wow
After an excellent post like that, full of information, all you can do is come up with some lame name? With friends like you who think Dems are losers its no wonder we are where we are. Yeah, I blame people like you for the condition in which we presently find our country.
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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 11:37 AM
Response to Reply #33
35. The post was all about what MIGHT happen, what COULD happen
And not a shred of proof that any of those possibilities have materially altered the outcome of any election.

...all you can do is come up with some lame name?

No lamer than a contributer making a psychological diagnosis without stating his or her qualifications, and doing so in a snarky manner to boot.

Yeah, I blame people like you for the condition in which we presently find our country.

I blame people like you for the miserable condition our party finds itself in.
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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 11:57 AM
Response to Reply #35
36. Hah
You are the one who thinks the Party is a loser. I think the Dems are winners. Big difference.

I'll bet you are one of those people who think a loaded gun setting on the table is no danger, never was, never will be.
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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 12:20 PM
Response to Reply #36
37. Let me give you a clue
Edited on Mon Nov-06-06 12:24 PM by slackmaster
You are being played by demagogues. Learning to recognize them would put you in a much better state of mind for dealing with this shadowy Conspiracy that has figured out how to commit the "perfect crime" for years on end without being detected.

I'll be taking my camera with me to the polls tomorrow. If anything strange happens, I'll post it here first.
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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 12:31 PM
Response to Reply #37
38. You, sir, are the demagogue
And I am not being played by you. I have facts, all you got is name calling.

The "perfect crime" HAS been detected! You haven't noticed? Hell, that's what this thread is all about! Hello!
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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 01:20 PM
Response to Reply #38
39. Let's all take note who is using ad hominem arguments here
The "perfect crime" HAS been detected! You haven't noticed? Hell, that's what this thread is all about! Hello!

Perfect crimes by definition cannot be detected.

I have facts, all you got is name calling.

You have speculation, and I'm not the one doing the name calling here.
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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 01:29 PM
Response to Reply #39
40. Fact is
I didn't call it the 'perfect crime'... you did. I was only relating to you that it is not a perfect crime since it has been detected.

So, what about my specualtion on leaving a loaded gun laying around? Dangerous? Or safe?

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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 01:34 PM
Response to Reply #40
41. If you'd read back you'd see it wasn't me who introduced the term
Edited on Mon Nov-06-06 01:37 PM by slackmaster
It was AikidoSoul in reply #28, the post that you heaped praise on.

So, what about my specualtion on leaving a loaded gun laying around? Dangerous? Or safe?

That's a textbook example of a logical fallacy of distraction known as Red Herring. (a.k.a. Smoke Screen.)

Read and learn: http://www.nizkor.org/features/fallacies/red-herring.html

BeFree, the difference between you and me in this discussion is that my mind is open to change if someone provides an adequate level of proof. That has not, in my judgement, happened. It's quite obvious that AikidoSoul introduced the term "denial" as an end-run against the posting rules. What he or she really means is that anyone who doesn't agree is either stupid or part of the Conspiracy.

You are running on faith.
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AikidoSoul Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 06:37 PM
Response to Reply #23
49. Nobody every said that EVERY election was stolen
It's an unfair comment. Maybe you're too busy to do any research on this. If so, please refrain from having anything to say about it.

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alcibiades_mystery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-05-06 09:30 PM
Response to Original message
29. If anyone has any doubt that stolen election nonsense is being used to depress
Dem turn out, you need look no further than this asinine thread.

The original poster apparently has at least two DU names (KOBUK and Toeg), and the other lunatics are jumping on at the end as well.

Ignore the stolen election nonsense. Behave on Tuesday as if you'd never heard anything about it, cuz 90% of it is bullshit, spread by either people with extremely suspect political positions (and devoid of ethical sense), like the two named herein, or by dupes on the Dem side who can't understand that we actually lost.

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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-05-06 10:07 PM
Response to Reply #29
31. It's worse than that
"Stolen election" nonsense is being used by demagogues within our own ranks to draw attention to themselves.

Ignore the stolen election nonsense. Behave on Tuesday as if you'd never heard anything about it...

Yes, vote and be vigilant.
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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-05-06 10:08 PM
Response to Reply #29
32. Whoa, dude!
You are so far out in right field it's crazy!

So you think Dems are LOSERS? Cause if you don't think there is anything to election fraud via the computerized capture of the vote, you also must feel the Dems are sore losers. We don't want people who think the Dems are losers, and that is exactly what you are saying.

Quote: "....dupes on the Dem side who can't understand that we actually lost." You say it but the only proof you have of that is bushco's word. And here you are pushing it on DU. Shame on you!


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Toeg Donating Member (20 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 05:34 PM
Response to Reply #29
44. You're hilarious
I have one nic, Toeg. I just started posting here.

If you don't realize what has happened in the last several elections, that's your problem, not mine. I just post the truth, you have every right to ignore it.

I say people need to get out and vote. By all means vote. Just don't be ignorant of the past. Those who forget the past are doomed to repeat it.

ENOUGH WITH STOLEN ELECTIONS.

Look at the front page of this site. "Robocalls" aren't an invention of the mind. It's reality. Here's what we ALL need to do to catch the perpetrators in action:

1. Take videocameras to all suspect sites (poor, minority voting precincts) and start filming the long lines and broken down machines.

2. Get people's statements on videotape as they are complaining about voting irregularities. BE SURE to mark the time and date. Have the victims identify exactly which precinct, date and time, and what the anomaly was.

3. Pass along all information about anomalies that you see. Report everything, even seemingly innocuous stuff. What seems trivial to one person, might be the missing puzzle piece to someone else.

4. Watch for people hanging around who aren't voting but are there only to challenge others. These are part of the crowd destroying our elections. They are there only to bar others from voting. FILM THEM IN ACTION. Let's get their pictures on the net. Let's show the world what they're doing.

5. Add to this list with more action items that we can use to stop this stealing. TAKE BACK OUR RIGHT TO VOTE!!

And once again, look at the record. I just started posting here. The mods would be able to corroborate this without a problem.
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alcibiades_mystery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 05:51 PM
Response to Reply #44
45. Robocalls are dirty tricks, not stolen elections
Your definition is so slipshod it could mean anything. It is the sign of a sloppy mind.

Broken machines and under-funded precincts are a calamity, and outrageous, but they are part and parcel of politics. You act as if these things just emerged with Kenneth Blackwell. In addition to being sloppy, you're naive.

There have always been vote challengers around as well. Again, this is terrible, but par for the course. Welcome to the adult world, where we know politics is dirty business and streetfighting.

You are the one who seems unfamiliar with history, KOBUK/Toeg/EthelK2044 (or whoever the feck you are), or at least capable of pretending in order to depress votes.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 06:57 PM
Response to Reply #45
50. Deleted sub-thread
Sub-thread removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
LaCrosseDem Donating Member (120 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-05-06 10:21 PM
Response to Original message
34. Yup. Done deal.
At this point I'll be happy if we maintain most of the seats we already hold. NPR earlier today was documenting a *massive* groundswell for the Republicans following Kerry's gaffe.
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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 02:33 PM
Response to Original message
42. OK, time for my response to the OP
Edited on Mon Nov-06-06 02:34 PM by slackmaster
Democrats will win control of both houses of Congress. Not by much, but it will be a working majority.

That is what generally happens in mid-term elections, and considering how Bush is doing there is no reason to think this one will be different.

Every close contest will break for the Republican.

Unlikely. I predict there will be close ones that break for the Republican and others that break for the Democrat. In all cases, the apparent loser will cry "Foul!", demand recounts, and accuse the other side of fraudulent or unethical activity. There will be much wailing and gnashing of teeth and some cases will end up in court.

But Democrats will prevail. And the Sun will come up on Wednesday.
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HearMeRoar Donating Member (9 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 04:28 PM
Response to Original message
43. Advice
I just want to recommend that all of you who are going to be voting on a voting-machine tomorrow, please bring your video-cell phones with you to record any possible irregularities that might occur.
If your vote switches in front of you on the screen, you’ll be able to prove it.
Since this is my first post on DU, I suggest someone make a thread on this so more people get the word.
Thanks
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Imagevision Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 06:07 PM
Response to Original message
48. You know it'll be bad when they announce Santorum & Harris as winners!!!
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alcibiades_mystery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-06-06 11:42 PM
Response to Reply #48
51. Done posting gay porn and on to other nonsense, I see
Well done.

:eyes:
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-07-06 01:29 AM
Response to Original message
52. They Can Steal Close Races. Better Make Sure It Isn't Close
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