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I don't think Kerry can lose unless 1 or 2 candidates drop out

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adamrsilva Donating Member (636 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 08:30 PM
Original message
I don't think Kerry can lose unless 1 or 2 candidates drop out
Right now we have three guys (mainly) splitting up the non-Kerry supporters' votes. I think Kerry will continue to win from here on out until someone else drops out.
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mlawson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 08:32 PM
Response to Original message
1. Still wouldn't matter, IMO.
It's in concrete, now, the party is behind Kerry. Watch for many more endorsements in the next 2-3 days. I have seen this many times before, in previous primary seasons.
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mikehiggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 08:56 PM
Response to Reply #1
12. I have to concur. The decision is made and the rest of us can go
home now and wait for November.

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SangamonTaylor Donating Member (537 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 08:34 PM
Response to Original message
2. 1 or 2 candidates will be dropping out this Tuesday I bet
I can't imagine anyone would be going anywhere against Kerry after VA and TN unless either Edwards or Clark win both states.
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lastknowngood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 08:41 PM
Response to Original message
3. The DNC/DLC have their selected looser
he will lose 48 states in November. Our country is screwed.
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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 08:46 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Why would you say that? n/t
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adamrsilva Donating Member (636 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 08:47 PM
Response to Reply #3
7. Oh, come on...
I'm not a Kerry supporter, but the voters of Iowa found Kerry on their own. The momentum may have affected other primaries, but no one would be complaining if it was their candidate.

I think at DU we have to recognize all the Dean and Clark and especially DK supporters don't represent most Democrats. Most Democrats like traditional Dems like Kerry and moderates like Edwards.
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MAlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 08:48 PM
Response to Reply #3
8. General negativity with no solid opinion, evidence, or whatever
is crap.

Leaving unqualified statements around just makes you look dumb. Pessimists rarely get off their asses to work, either, and that's what ANY victory in November, landslide, close, whatever, will take.
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oasis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 08:57 PM
Response to Reply #3
13. We Democrats have a few loosers(sic) among our rank and file.
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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 08:45 PM
Response to Original message
4. I agree but I don't see it happening soon enough, n/t
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megaplayboy Donating Member (81 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 08:45 PM
Response to Original message
5. The only one who can stop John Kerry..
is probably John Kerry. A gaffe, or a major scandalous/controversial revelation about his record or personal history(i.e., something to impeach his "electablity") is probably the only thing that could derail his candidacy.

The only other thing--A Clark/Edwards double win in Tennessee and Virginia, followed by a squeaker plurality win for Dean in Wisconsin--would probably put a halt to the pundits' "inevitability" talk.

And then Edwards(or Clark) could rack up some Southern or Western state wins in March, and Dean could use his new war chest to win a few, and we'd most likely have a brokered convention.

The real "bitter end" is by no means longer than mid-March(Florida). After that, whoever is on top will either have clinched, or will be so far ahead that no one else is likely to win the nomination at convention.

Plus, Edwards and Clark will likely have spent up to the limit by that point, if they're still in it.
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quinnox Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 08:49 PM
Response to Original message
9. Either Clark or Edwards have to drop out next week to have any chance
Edited on Sat Feb-07-04 08:51 PM by quinnox
They should have a "loser leave town" agreement for whoever wins those two southern states.

Dean will probably withdraw after Wisconsin (maybe sooner after today's Afscme news), so that would leave only Edwards or Clark left against Kerry.
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adamrsilva Donating Member (636 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 08:52 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. Yeah, either Clark or Edwards have to withdraw
for either of them to have a chance! Dean's almost a nonentity. It's do or die time for him in Wisconsin. He has to win there or he's gone.
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quinnox Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 08:56 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Yup
n/t
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MercutioATC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 11:37 PM
Response to Original message
14. They don't have to make a deal yet. They just have to deny Kerry
sufficient delegates to win before the convention and it's anybody's ballgame...
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