Tracking Today's Primary Results - AL, CA, IA, MS, MT, NJ, NM, SD

[swag]

Swing State Project has a good discussion on sources for election results other than Secretary of State offices.

And this is Ruy Teixeira's take on today's races:

Eight Elections Today Hold Clues for Mid-terms

Today is D-Day, for Democrats, as well as historically, with 8 elections to watch for some real-world clues about the Democrats' (and the GOP's) prospects coming up in November. These include: Alabama - Primary; California - Primary / Special Election CD 50; Iowa - Primary; Mississippi - Primary; Montana - Primary; New Jersey - Primary / Special Primary CD 13; New Mexico - Primary; South Dakota - Primary. CA 50 is the marquee contest, with the Montana Senate campaign a close second. Look also for an overall "throw the bums out" trend which should bode well for Dems.

[BOSSHOG]

1. MISSISSIPPI DEMS are picking trent lott's opponent today!

I voted early. Please all Mississipians get out and vote today. Lets have a big turnout.

[swag]

2. Damn. Go, Mississippi Dems!

[On the Road]

3. Unfortunately, A "Throw the Bums Out" Trend

cuts both ways in legislative elections. I'm hoping that come November, it's "throw the Republicans out."

[snowbear]

4. Trent Lott's seat is as SAFE as SAFE can be...

He (and his hair) have no worries about losing in November.

[CottonBear]

5. Is his hair real or is it a hair hat? Just curious. n/t

[snowbear]

6. I don't know.. but did you know his head was stolen twice?

Seriously.. http://eliteleague.co.uk/forum/images/smilies/lol!.gif

Stolen twice and thrown into the Escatawpa River in Pascagoula, Mississippi.

I guess they finally built a cage around it.. so it's safe now.

"Pascagoula, Mississippi - Trent Lott's head recovered
A 50-lb. bronze version of Trent Lott's head has been recovered by police after it was stolen from the lawn of the Trent Lott Middle School, Pascagoula, MS on May 31. An anonymous call the next evening led police to an alley where the slightly scuffed head was recovered. Another Trent head was stolen from the same school in 1997 and thrown into the Escatawpa River. Divers searched for it, but it was never found."
http://www.roadsideamerica.com/tips/getAttraction.php3?tip_AttractionNo==4153

[CottonBear]

7. LOL! Bwahahahahahaha!

:rofl:

[Rainscents]

11. BWAHAHAHAHAHA...

Thanks for great laugh!!! :rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

[swag]

8. Sure, I'll kick this dumbass thread.

[ChiciB1]

9. Yeah, Let's Keep This Up Front... KICK (nt)

[swag]

10. Some very fragmentary results at Swing State Project.

Montana should start rolling in in a few minutes:

http://www.swingstateproject.com/

[swag]

12. Not seeing much optimism anywhere on CA-50, sorry to say.

[Hippo_Tron]

13. For the first time, I'm not going into a close race with optimism

I don't think that it's a lost cause by any means, but I'm predicting that Bilbray edges by. I think that Busby's comment about the "you don't need papers to help us" will turn out the angry white male vote. God I hope that I'm wrong.

[yebrent]

14. Link to California Returns

This is a great resource for California election returns:

VoteCircle

[proud patriot]

25. thanks

[swag]

15. Billings Gazette has very very early Montana returns

http://www.billingsgazette.net/

0 complete precincts, Morrison is ahead of Tester. That means little, but a good site to watch, it seems.

[greendog]

17. Ravalli /Lewis and Clark Counties early returns...

8:28 p.m.
Results from Ravalli County. Tester 980, Morrison 438. (early pickup + absentee)
Results from Lewis and Clark County. Tester 2757, Morrison 881. (absentees)

http://www.testertime.com/

[swag]

19. Whoa, additively to the Gazette numbers, that turns things around.

[VirginiaDem]

20. Yep

Per MYDD:

"MT-Sen
Tester 1,878--Morrison 1,453. Good start for Tester, but it is early. Just so you know, I added the results on this page to the absentee totals from Yellowsotne County, a Morrison stronghold."

[greendog]

21. At this point, the numbers we're getting are from absentee ballots...

...voted days or weeks ago when Morrison was still doing well.

[VirginiaDem]

22. no, it's a mix n/t

[swag]

23. MyDD again, (thanks, VaDem)

Tester 3,726--2,021 Morrison. Wow--great results for Tester so far. This might be over before CA-50 gets going.

[VirginiaDem]

26. My bad

Yep, they're all absentee. Mydd:

"Tester 4,706--2,459 Morrison. These are all absentee, and I don't want to get over-confident, but how could Morrison really come back from an absentee deficit like this?"

[greendog]

27. Missoula County

8:43 p.m.
Results from Missoula County. Tester 909, Morrison 347, Richards 16, Candee 8, Marcure 12 (not sure what this is)

[greendog]

29. Musselshell / Big Horn Counties

8:50 p.m.
Results from Musselshell County. Tester 112, Morrison 140, Richards 2, Candee 1, Marcure 0

Results from Big Horn County. Tester 21, Morrison 12

[swag]

30. Keep 'em comin'.

I'd say that Hill County would be a Bellweather if Tester weren't from Big Sandy.

[sandnsea]

51. Ravalli

If they're going Tester in the Bitterroot AND Missoula, I'd say that's a damned good sign. I can't imagine eastern MT going Morrison over Tester.

[swag]

33. Great Falls area absentees - this tells a tale

Results from Cascade County:
Tester 1295, Morrison 695 (absentees)

[Ediacara]

52. 125/867 | Tester 61.2 | Morrison 35.8

[VirginiaDem]

16. I am not warm and fuzzy on CA 50 at all

In the end, it's too much to expect very conservative voters to not vote against Busby as much as they might be tempted to vote for the independent minuteman guy.

[VirginiaDem]

18. Tester down a bit out of the blocks

From Swingstate:
MT-SEN, 0% of Precincts reporting:


John Morrison (D): 1,140 (52.41)
Jon Tester (D): 969 (44.55)

[VirginiaDem]

24. Tester's opening an early lead...

Mydd again:

Tester 3,726--2,021 Morrison. Wow--great results for Tester so far. This might be over before CA-50 gets going.

[swag]

28. Gazette now has Tester 64, Morrison 34

Similar at MyDD

[greendog]

31. Montana Early Total ~ from Tester headquarters

8:55 p.m.
Our early total: Tester 5770 (65%), Morrison 2978 (33%), Richards 106 (1%), Marcure 38 (0%), Candee 36 (0%)

[greendog]

32. Cascade County

9:00 p.m.
Results from Cascade County:
Tester 1295, Morrison 695 (absentees

[greendog]

34. More from Cascade County

9:03 p.m.
Results from Cascade County:
Tester 4779, Morrison 2611

[swag]

36. Good lord.

Kind of a blowout so far.

Though being from 75 miles north of Great Falls surely hasn't hurt Tester.

Cautiously optimistic for Tester. I don't think Morrison's recent difficulties would help him in a race about ethics against Burns.

[swag]

41. Commentary on Cascade Country from Swing State Project

These numbers (the 2.42% update) are from Cascade County, which is the Great Falls area. This is fantastic news for Tester, since Matt Singer wrote that "This is one of the few towns where a number of legislators have stayed neutral or are supporting John Morrison, so expect it to be a bit closer here."

[greendog]

35. Tester now leads Yellowstone County

9:05 p.m.
Results from Yellowstone County:
Tester 2349, Morrison 2207

[swag]

38. Lordy, thanks. Gallatin County has to be a blowout for Tester.

[greendog]

43. I'd imagine...

... with liberal Bozeman. :)

I'm currious about Flathead County (where I am). Morrison has a lot of family up in Whitefish. His father's law practice was there.

[swag]

45. Will be interesting in your county. Got any feel for it?

[greendog]

46. Tester's yard signs out-number Morrison's ...

...except in Whitefish. I'm not sure if that means anything.

[greendog]

40. Missoula County: (29 of 101 precincts)

9:19 p.m.
Results from Missoula County:
Tester 4199, Morrison 1236 (29 of 101 precincts)

Also this:
9:16 p.m.
Evidently the Cascade county number above is incorrect

[swag]

42. I'm itchy on that Cascade note, but it's worth noting that Missoula

County is where John Morrison grew up. Nevertheless, I'm unsurprised that he's getting trounced there. That's Missoula.

[Ediacara]

48. The latest from the Billings Gazette has Cascade as follows:

Cascade 4/38
Tester1,208 61.20%
Candee 21 1.06%
Morrison 695 35.21%
Richards 30 1.52%
Marcure 20 1.01%

We're only 10% in (with Cascade) but it looks good so far. Nothing in Gallatin, Chouteau (Tester's home county), Deer Lodge, Flathead, Lake, Park, Toole, or Hill.

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2006/by_county/MT_Page_0606.html?SITE=MTBILELN&SECTION=POLITICS

(although by the time I finish this message that'll probably be updated, LOL)

[greendog]

44. Tester behind in Silver Bow / Deer Lodge Counties

9:21 p.m.
Now for some not as good news, but still early…

Results from Silver Bow County:
Tester 455, Morrison 786

Results from Deer Lodge County:
Tester 422, Morrison 695

[greendog]

50. More Silver Bow County (still behind)

9:42 p.m.
Results from Silver Bow County:
Tester 809, Morrison 1241

[greendog]

47. Flathead / Lewis and Clark Counties

9:37 p.m.

Results from Flathead County:
Tester 330, Morrison 311

Results from Lewis and Clark County:
Tester 3846, Morrison 1209

[swag]

49. It is just me, or is this kind of looking over?

[Ediacara]

53. They've only counted 14% of the votes so far

It looks good for sure, but I am not counting chickens until at least 80% of the eggs have hatched :-)

[swag]

56. Wise counsel.

[swag]

54. I guess it's not just me. James L. from SSP says:

"Results from Yellowstone County:
Tester 2349, Morrison 2207

Recall what Matt Singer wrote about Billings, the population capital of Yellowstone County yesterday:

The Ohio of Montana, Billings is the swing city that often decides the winner of the general election, but it's relatively low primary turnout and its swing status makes it slightly less important in the primary election. County Commissioner Bill Kennedy, the only D on the Commission, is Morrison's treasurer (reportedly, he's got his eye on the Auditor's office is Morrison somehow pulls this thing off). Kennedy and Morrison have been working this town hard and it's been an admitted weak spot for Tester's campaign."

[greendog]

55. I'm tempted to go to bed...

...the only big city Morrison seems to lead is Butte. That ain't gonna do it for him.

[swag]

59. No, but he can still get a great pork chop sandwich in Butte.

How I crave the Pork Chop John's sandwich now and again.

[sandnsea]

66. Hiway Bar

They make a mean pork chop sandwich too, but I like their chicken sandwich better.

But yeah, Butte added to a good showing in Billings could swing things to Morrison. I'm surprised at how well Tester is doing, I hope he wins.

[Ediacara]

57. Chouteau County from the Gazette

I know it's only 25% of returns, but it looks like a minor blowout in Tester's home county :-)

Chouteau 3/12 | Tester: 55 84.62% |Morrison: 10 15.38%

[swag]

61. That number makes me think that Hill will probably go Tester.

[greendog]

58. Flathead / Yellowstone Counties

9:43 p.m.
Results from Flathead County:
Tester 1070, Morrison 964 (47% reporting)

Results from Yellowstone County:
Tester 4797, Morrison 4193 (45/69 precincts)

[swag]

37. Link to CA-50 thread in GD

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=364&topic_id=1369678&mesg_id=1369678

[swag]

39. CA-50 not looking good at all, sad to say.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=364&topic_id=1369678&mesg_id=1369844

[Ediacara]

60. Latest MONTANA 251/867 | Tester 64.04% | Morrison 33.53%

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2006/by_county/MT_Page_0606.html?SITE=MTBILELN&SECTION=POLITICS

What's new?

Gallatin 5/46 | Tester 68.22% | Morrison 29.46%
Lewis & Clark 12/54 | Tester 75.25% | Morrison 23.65%
Madison 1/8 | Tester 62.79% | Morrison 32.56%
Missoula 97/101 | Tester 76.59% | Morrison 21.82%
Ravalli 11/22 | Tester 66.33% | Morrison 31.58%
Silverbow -- still just absentees -- 0/45
Yellowstone 45/69 | Tester 52.40% | Morrison 45.81%

[swag]

62. I should remember that the folks in Hill County are slow to count ballots

because they're all so busy snaring gophers.

[greendog]

63. Flathead / Yellowstone / Gallatin Counties

10:08 p.m.

New Numbers:

Flathead
Tester 1362
Morrison 1192 80% in

Yellowstone
Tester 6150
Morrison 5330

Gallatin
Tester 943
Morrison 429

[Ediacara]

64. MONTANA 321/867 | Tester 62.38% | Morrison 35.02%

New and interesting:

Flathead 20/42 | Tester 51.47% | Morrison 46.37%
Gallatin 15/46 | Tester 66.93% | Morrison 30.45%
Lake 5/22 | Tester 57.92% | Morrison 38.91%
Silver Bow 12/45 | Tester 38.83% | Morrison | 58.86%

ON EDIT: Finally got something from Silverbow besides absentees, it looks like it's the only major county so far that supports Morrison over Tester!

[Ediacara]

69. MONTANA 359/867 | Tester 62.06% | Morrison 35.26%

New and Interesting:

Chouteau 7/12 | Tester 90.81% | Morrison 8.46%
Yellowstone 56/69 | Tester 52.67% | Morrison 45.65%

[swag]

65. Probably useless number: Tester raw vote vs. Burns raw vote as of now

Tester: 30,109 of Dem vote (62.38% of votes for D candidates)

Burns: 26,740 (70.69% R votes for R candidates)

Republican voters seem to be sitting this one out in a big way.

[Ediacara]

70. To be fair

Even though Burns had a contested primary,it wasn't REALLY contested. It's STILL good to see those numbers though!

[greendog]

67. Rumor is that they are starting the count over...

...in Cascade County.

http://www.testertime.com/

[swag]

68. Chris Bowers at MyDD is calling it for Tester

I now project Tester as the winner in Montana. With 19,000 votes counted, Tester is crushing Morrison 64.8%--32.9%. There were only 55,000 votes cast in the 2002 primary. Morrison barely won his Yellowstone stronghold. I'm calling this one. This is a truly remarkable victory for Montana, and for the netroots. Wow--a huge win.

http://www.mydd.com

[proud patriot]

71. I think Debra Bowen is going to win in Cali

Secratary of State here she comes :woohoo:

[swag]

72. 8:51 p.m.

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2006/06/07/STATEWRAP.TMP

Debra Bowen of Marina del Rey was leading Deborah Ortiz of Sacramento for secretary of state in early returns, as the two Democratic state senators battled to face incumbent Bruce McPherson in November.

[Ediacara]

73. Morrison conceding!

Right now according to local CBS

[swag]

74. Wow. Nice job Tester people, DinoBoy included.

[sandnsea]

75. Well I'll be damned

Great great win!!! Burns is in for an ass-whoopin' now. Congratulations!

[Adelante]

76. Good job

:thumbsup: