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GOP analyst predicts 30 seat gain for Dems in 06 election

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MissWaverly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:38 AM
Original message
GOP analyst predicts 30 seat gain for Dems in 06 election
And there was one number -- I was talking to, probably, in my judgment, the most able Republican campaign legislator in the business -- and probably I'm giving away his identity by saying it -- and he said he thought that Republicans would lose right now 30 seats in the House.

And the intensity, Ray, is all on the Democratic side. And it's an anti-Bush intensity. There was a question asked: Do you view your vote in the fall as a vote against President George W. Bush or a vote for President George W. Bush? And by a two-to-one margin, it was considered by voters who made that decision a vote against President Bush.

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/political_wrap/jan-june06/sb_5-12.html
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wtmusic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:41 AM
Response to Original message
1. Brooks: "there was a little bit of upset" about domestic spying
"but...I don't think it will be a political problem for them."

:rofl:

David, it's already a problem for them. Smell the coffee.

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MissWaverly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:44 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. another quote from the show
DAVID BROOKS: Well, I spent a lot of the week up on Capitol Hill. And the Republicans -- you know, they've gotten -- they're in rubber rooms. And the mood is terrible. The mood is completely terrible.

I go up there trying to be Mr. Sunshine and, believe me, they are depressed, and they're depressed at each other. The House Republicans attacking the Senate Republicans. Everybody attacking the White House; the White House attacking back. So there's just a feeling of panic.

you can use the link I posted to read this, it's from the same show. That's David Brooks-
Mr. Sunshine, what we need now is not superficial optimism but objective news reporting.
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wtmusic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:48 AM
Response to Reply #2
7. IMO we can't ever look for objectivity from Brooks
Just the idea of a journalist trying to be "Mr. Sunshine" is pretty weird.
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napi21 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:50 AM
Response to Reply #2
10. Oh good! Don't ya just love a good domestic Party fight!
I really hope this is true! It feels sooo good to know they're attacking each other for a change. I hope I get a chance to SEE a little of the action soon.
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Warpy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:45 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. I want them to keep the illusion of invulnerability for as long
as possible. That way, they won't try to change course and try to allay the public's outrage over their dangerous, undemocratic, kleptocratic policies.

One of the greatest tactical blunders in the world is underestimating an adversary. Another is overestimating one's own prowess.
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MissWaverly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:47 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. one key factor here is the Saudi link to the Bush family
bush has always had their backing, well they are losing a bundle now that the dollar is sliding
on world markets. They are not going to be big Bush supporters now.
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jschurchin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:59 AM
Response to Reply #3
15. Remember Kevin Bacons character in the....
movie Animal House near the end? "Remain calm all is well" just as the stampeding crowd runs his stupid ass over. Welcome to the state of the Republican Party and the Chimps White House. They will never change as their ass is about to be run over.
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C_U_L8R Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:45 AM
Response to Original message
4. I'm gonna save the celebrating
until the day after election day.
There's a lot of time between now
and then and for sure there
will a lot of Republican cheating
and hankypanky going on.
They just can't help themselves.
They are crooks. It's their nature.
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bigdarryl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:46 AM
Response to Original message
5. 30 SEATS!
He's saying that because come election when the repubs. only loose least than 30 seats they can come back and say the demorcrates didn't pickup the number of seats as expected. don't believe the hype
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wtmusic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:49 AM
Response to Reply #5
8. Ex...actly
and to motivate the base. Just doing his job, Mr. Brooks is.
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MissWaverly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:55 AM
Response to Reply #8
13. the problem is that most of major networks cover for Bush
they did soft coverage of the NSA scandal and pumped up the pseudo poll which tied the lastest
info with (do you support them investigating terrorists). Of course, people support investigating terrorists; but how can there be a connection of tracking millions of domestic
calls of innocent Americans to terrorists. This has never been about terror. The man who
was directly under Tom Ridge said that the main objective of Homeland Security was to dispel
opposition to George Bush.
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wtmusic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:57 AM
Response to Reply #13
14. Do you have a link for the "dispel opposition" bite?
Just asking.
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MissWaverly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 10:02 AM
Response to Reply #14
18. I have to check and get back to you
but I know that it was the man who served directly under Tom Ridge that said that.
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MissWaverly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 10:30 AM
Response to Reply #14
20. Go buy his book
The memoir released Monday by former Homeland Security inspector general Clark Kent Ervin also accuses Tom Ridge, the department's first secretary, of shutting down critics instead of focusing on terrorists.

Ridge's office called Ervin's charges "simply untrue," and a Homeland Security spokesman said they were "disingenuous."

Ervin, a mild-tempered Texas Republican who was a top aide to then-Gov. George W. Bush, served as Homeland Security's first inspector general for nearly two years. His book, "Open Target: Where America is Vulnerable to Terrorism," outlines security gaps at U.S. airports, in mass transit systems, and at borders. It points to the department's sluggish response to Hurricane Katrina as proof that Homeland Security remains unprepared for threats.

http://www.mlive.com/newsflash/lateststories/index.ssf?/base/politics-3/1146542664277530.xml&storylist=
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wtmusic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 10:36 AM
Response to Reply #20
21. thanks nt
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MissWaverly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:50 AM
Response to Reply #5
9. the hype is that we are broke and in a failed war
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Ian David Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:54 AM
Response to Reply #5
12. How many seats are in districts with Diebold machines? n/t
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neoblues Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:53 AM
Response to Original message
11. Does that count the Diebold effect? nt.
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MissWaverly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:59 AM
Response to Reply #11
16. I don't think that will work now
it was the speed of the transition, the lack of understanding of the electorate and millions of
dollars used as a lubricant, some of which was siphoned off of US tax dollars. Do you think
our tax dollars was just siphoned off for hookers, limos and parties-think again.
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biscotti Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 09:59 AM
Response to Original message
17. What a twit
Brooks reminds me of the Disney character Goofy.
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blondeatlast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-13-06 10:18 AM
Response to Original message
19. Code to the GOP faithful for: "Send money, then send some more."
And don't say a word until November 2006.

We promise to stop gay marriage and letting them kill zygotes for science NEXT YEAR. Really--we mean it THIS TIME.
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