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Isnt it a bit early to give SC to Edwards?

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Mobius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:30 PM
Original message
Isnt it a bit early to give SC to Edwards?
Edited on Tue Feb-03-04 07:31 PM by Mobius
President - - 149 of 2,008 precincts reporting
149, out of 2000?
Just a thought :shrug:

http://customwire.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2004/primaries/by_state/SC_Page.html?SITE=YAHOOELN&SECTION=POLITICS#TOP
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Skinner ADMIN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:31 PM
Response to Original message
1. I think the projections are based on exit polls.
But we shall see.
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metisnation Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 08:02 PM
Response to Reply #1
14. GREAT JOB JOHN EDWARDS
You are the new son of the south...we are all very proud of you keep up the good work!
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Cuban_Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:31 PM
Response to Original message
2. Nope.
Not when the marging is as big as it is. Besides, they are selected precincts used by political analysts, 'bellweather precincts', if you will.
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Mobius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:33 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. forgive me
Edited on Tue Feb-03-04 07:34 PM by Mobius
if I don't put much stock in what political analysts have to say:puke:
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Cuban_Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:37 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. They've been pretty accurate this year.
They called Iowa and NH, after the polls closed, and did so fairly accurately, I might add.
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SadEagle Donating Member (664 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:31 PM
Response to Original message
3. Exit polls.
They've probably sampled most of the country, so they know which areas are good for whom. And the lead is big enough for it to be a pretty safe call.
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:33 PM
Response to Original message
5. Don't be stingy.
Let the man have his home.
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Mobius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:35 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. No problem there,
Edited on Tue Feb-03-04 07:36 PM by Mobius
but not until he actually wins it :hi:
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leyton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:36 PM
Response to Original message
7. No.
The numbers in Iowa did not change dramatically from the first to the last precinct as they rolled in. The numbers from the SC precincts are coming in and they do not appear to be changing either. Even in NH there was not much change, as Edwards and Clark switched places but still danced around the same percentages.
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Mobius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:37 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. What about NH that was a REAL primary?
Edited on Tue Feb-03-04 07:37 PM by Mobius
Clark saw huge late surges there.
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mlawson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:38 PM
Response to Original message
10. They know which precincts are in, and which are not.
Comparing the results to demographics and historical patterns, they can say very closely what 100% will look like.
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Democrats unite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:38 PM
Response to Original message
11. Edwards is a good man
a little inexperienced IMO but he's a good man. I pretty much felt Edwards was going to do this in SC & good for him.
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genius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:43 PM
Response to Original message
12. He's in the high forties. No one else is close. It's a landslide
Your guy may do well elsewhere.
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dweller Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:43 PM
Response to Original message
13. Get with the plan!
that way they can call *moron again in 2004...
:puke:
dp
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