Great Election Prediction Website

[espera17]

For all of you people who take great interest in elections (which I am sure most of you do) please visit hhtp://electionpredictions.blogspot.com . The site has some great statistics, info, maps, and predictions for the 2006 midterm elections. Any election news can be left as a comment because the site owner Tom updates daily.
Thanks!

[babylonsister]

1. Thanks for the site, espera17, and welcome to DU!

:hi:

[espera17]

2. Thanks!

Thanks, and the site really is great. I am amazed at all the traffic on the DU.

[babylonsister]

4. Yes, DU has many devoted fans. It's a great place to

get yourself caught up on what's going on, to get questions answered, or at the very least, debated. Enjoy!

[espera17]

13. .

what a great resource

[espera17]

22. .

.

[espera17]

24. senate

and now it seems as if democrats may take over the senate

[espera17]

27. problem with DU?

for some reason my posts arent showing up

[espera17]

3. Election Predictions

Anyone care to list their own election predictions for the House and Senate?

[electropop]

6. It's going to be a bloodbath.

Even with widespread Repub theft efforts, they are going to be unemployed in large numbers.

[espera17]

7. Hopeful for Dem majorities

I think the Dems have a good chance of overtaking the GOP in the House (hopefully)

[electropop]

8. and Senate!

The public is seriously pissed and out for revenge.

[espera17]

9. Doubtful about Senate

I am doubtful that the Democrats could overtake the Senate, I just don't see the possibilities for pickups.

[espera17]

10. senate pickups

The most seats I see that could possibly switch are five: PA, MT, MO, RI, and TN

[espera17]

25. likely

and the likely ones are PA, MT, OH... i forgot OH in the first one

[espera17]

26. 6

there are actually six competitive senate seats, with arizona and nevada possibly joining the mix

[July]

38. From your mouth to the FSM's ears. nt

[espera17]

40. what

is fsm

[perdido21]

41. hopeful

i am very optimistic about htese elections

[Innocent Smith]

15. prediction

10-12 seat pickup in the House.

1-2 seat pickup in the Senate.

[espera17]

23. More Senate pickups

I think the Dems will pick up more than 2 Senate seats.

[JeffR]

5. Thanks espera17, just checking it out

Welcome to DU!
:yourock:

[espera17]

21. interesting

very interesting photo

[eppur_se_muova]

11. make that http://... and the link will be active (typo). nt

http://electionpredictions.blogspot.com

[espera17]

12. thanks

thanks for that correction so that it can be easily accessed.

[radio4progressives]

18. Am I misunderstanding the projections?

I don't see a victory in either house.. (in terms of winning a majority)

[espera17]

20. no

the site is not projecting a Democratic majority in either house as of now.

[SeaBob]

14. website

Thanks for the tip. I just checked it out and I am cautiosly optimistic about wht I see there

[espera17]

16. website

I really do think the site doesn't show really any bias. In fact, I can't even tell the political affiliation of the site owner. It is much more nonpartisan than some other election sites I've seen.

[espera17]

28. .

.

[radio4progressives]

17. The Projection breakdown has the Dems in the minority in both houses

that's not a good sign for Dems at this juncture, even though it's an improvement - it isn't control.

[espera17]

19. longshot

Looking nationally, it seems the Democrats have a much better chance than when each race is assessed individually.

[espera17]

29. Cook Political Report

check out the Cook Political Report website because Charlie Cook gives a great analysis of macro and micro views of House races.

[gasperc]

32. I'd rather the GOP lull itself

into thinking it will easily retain both houses. I worked the 1994 campaigns heavily in CA. The fear was there that we would lose alot of seats and make it difficult to retain a governing majority. But for the most part we didn't forsee losing both houses of congress, the potential was there so I wasn't shocked when it happened but for the most part we democrats were lulled into thinking we couldn't lose the majority.

The GOP is trying to be more proactive, they sense the potential of losing both houses of congress and the white house sees this too. They just don't admit it publicly.

The biggest factor in 1994 was the GOP's massive effort to DEPRESS democratic turnout. The GOP will do the same thing this year. Electrocute their base and make Democratic candidates radioactive.

We have to FIGHT hard agianst this. Will we have to hold our noses and vote for some fucking DINOs, yes! But when we gain the majority, rest assured I'll be one of the first in line to challenge the DINOs in the primary and keep our representatives feet to the fire.

Bush and company will use a Democratic congress to blame EVERYTHING on, the taxes, the war going badly, your mother's corn's on her feet, you fucking name it, we'll get blamed.
BUT WITH THE MAJORITY WE WILL HAVE SUBPOENA POWER AND THE POWER TO INVESTIGATE EVERYTHING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

BUT WE HAVE TO GET IN THERE FIRST

[espera17]

34. right

we need to depress Republican turnout, though i think Bush is already doing that for us.

[espera17]

30. wrong link

thats http://electionpredictions.blogspot.com

[Catchawave]

31. Nice site ! Welcome to DU, too

:hi:

[espera17]

33. thanks

it is a very interesting place!

[NJ Democrats]

35. Yes, I check it every day,

It's a great site.

[espera17]

36. yes

i do too

[perdido21]

37. very good website

do you know the political affiliation of the owner?

[espera17]

39. not sure

but i believe he is moderate (independent/republican leaning)

[espera17]

42. i found out

he is an extremely moderate republican