The primary race will come down to Kerry-Edwards on Feb. 10

[DJcairo]

This is, of course, assuming Edwards wins SC and Clark loses OK. Kerry then wins WA, MI and ME. Even though VA and TN are tough states for Kerry, if he has won all but one state at that point he will be very hard to beat in VA and TN.

[Meritaten1]

1. Disagree with you

The assumptions you make are too big. Clark's campaign has momentum now and he is gaining in the polls.

[DJcairo]

2. Where, I beg you, is Clark gaining? Show me the poll.

He certainly doesn't look good in OK or AZ and despite the fact that Zogby be had him down way to far in the middle of the week, he'll be lucky to finishwithin 10 points of Kerry in AZ, IMO.