Kerry on Top in N.M.

[displacedtexan]

Sunday, February 1, 2004

Kerry on Top in N.M.

By Michael Coleman
Copyright © 2004 Albuquerque Journal; Journal Washington Bureau

John Kerry has vaulted to the front of the Democratic presidential pack in New Mexico, while former front-runner Howard Dean is tied with Wesley Clark in distant second place, a Journal poll has found.
<snip>
Kerry, a Massachusetts senator, led the field with 31 percent of the likely voters choosing him over the seven others on Tuesday's caucus ballots.


more...

http://www.abqjournal.com/elex/139889elex02-01-04.htm

[quinnox]

1. This is a turnaround

I really thought Kerry wasn't going to be competitive in New Mexico.

[goodhue]

2. DK's support jumped to 6% in north central NM

Glad to see some movement for DK!

[blm]

4. That IS good news.

Hopefully people are voting for the REAL antiwar candidate and abandoning the faux one who got all the press.

[Quixote1818]

3. 24,000 absentee ballots were cast before Kerry's surge. New Mexico

is far from over. They only expect around 50,000 voters on Feb. 3rd so half the ballots have already been cast when Kerry was still at 8% and Clark and Dean were leading.

CAUCUS NUMBERS

Estimated number of registered Democrats statewide: 481,000

Absentee ballots requested: 29,822, or 6 percent

Number of requests rejected because voters were not registered Democrats: About 500

Number of absentee ballots returned as of Friday evening: About 8,000, or 27 percent of those requested

Total number of Democrats expected to vote in the caucus: About 48,100, or 10 percent

Print this

[jmaier]

5. NM will go

Kerry - Clark or Clark - Kerry. I'm guessing that Wes will make it very close when the votes get tallied.

[kentuck]

6. I have a hunch that whomever wins AZ will also win NM.....

I thought the General might stand a better chance inthose two states than in OK, where he has been favored in some polls...

[janx]

7. Maybe so, and maybe not.

NM and AZ share certain demographics, but AZ has a much larger senior citizen population than does NM. (It's a little like the FL of the West.) Also, from what I've seen at least (I live in CO and visit both states), NM seems to be more liberal than AZ. I could see some elderly voters wanting to "play it safe" and vote for Kerry in AZ.

But this is only my impression of the two states. The thing could easily go a different way.

[THUNDER HANDS]

8. ah it's immaterial

Everyone knows the election begins in Wisconsin. :eyes:

[gulliver]

9. Was this before or after Gov. Bill Richardson introduced Clark ...

... as the next President of the United States. :-)

[Auntie Bush]

10. But someone said that he says that to

all the canidates when he introduces them. Does anyone know if that is true?

[gulliver]

11. I highly doubt it.

But I'm open to a link on it. That would be pretty bad on the part of Richardson.