Who will drop out Wednesday morning?

[DJcairo]

Here's my bet:

Lieberman
Clark

Lieberman because he won't have won any delegates and Clark because he will narrowly lose OK. Edwards will win SC I think, so he stays in. And so does Dean, although I'm still not sure I understand why.

[texasmom]

1. No chance

of Clark dropping out this early regardless of the outcome.
Lieberman will drop out. No one else.

[lovedems]

4. I hope you are right. I want the chance to vote for him in Illinois!

I was just visiting the Illinois for Clark website and they have done alot of work for the General. I want to get involved!

[texasmom]

8. I've been involved here in Texas

since the end of July. We are so ready, but unfortunately our primary isn't until March 9. When is Illinois? My inlaws are in Chicago.

[Renew Deal]

2. Lieberman, Edwards if he somehow loses SC.

[David Dunham]

3. Dean's already largely out of money and DOA

[Eloriel]

17. And then what did you dream?

Dean is raising money daily at an amazing clip. Approx. 5500 people (total) turned out to see him in Tuscon and Seattle today. We've got a terrific new Campaign Manger who also "gets it" about the campaign and Dean, and who has come up with a terrific game plan.

We're also getting MORE endorsements.

Dean is in until:

1. He doesn't have any more money and isn't getting any more OR

2. Someone gets all the delegates necessary to win, and even then he may continue on.

3. He wins the nomination.

Do NOT count the Deanster out. He is one hell of a fighter.

[Lefta Dissenter]

5. are you kidding?

There's no way Clark is dropping out. He's in for the long haul. We've been working hard here in Wisconsin, he just rolled out his third ad, two more offices are opening up in other cities (or three, I'm not sure)... and I will be absolutely thrilled to go and vote for Wesley Clark on February 17th!

[texasmom]

10. Exactly.

I think they're forgetting about Clark's $$ and the fact that he's been waging a national campaign.
Edwards isn't going to lose SC, either.

[JasonBerry]

6. Clark future rides on Oklahoma

If Kerry were to come back and beat Clark in Oklahoma, I would think there is no realistic scenario for him to win the nomination. Edwards has already said he must win South Carolina. If he gets beat in SC, Edwards will get out and support John Kerry. Dean has through early March to turn around the momentum - unless - Kerry wins February 3rd AND 7th big.

[maxr4clark]

15. Clark has no reason to drop out. n/t

[JasonBerry]

23. Except that

If he loses Oklahoma - he's zero for nine.

[jenk]

7. Clark and Lieberman

Edwards takes SC and Oklahoma, finishes 2nd in Missouri.

[DJcairo]

19. That will not happen

Edwards is not a factor in OK, although he may well win in SC.

[kaitykaity]

9. Please let it be Lieberman.

Dean's already said he's in it to the end, and I think Clark wants to try out more of the Southern states. I agree that if Edwards loses SC, he's out.

[bigwillq]

11. Lieberman is the only one I think

Clark still has a long way to go. It's too early for him to drop out plus I think he could do well Tues. We know about Edwards and his predicition and Dean will stay.

Bye Joe.

[MercutioATC]

12. Nobody. The 7th is just around the corner and most still have cash.

[knight_of_the_star]

13. Wait until next week is over

Clark won 3rd place in his first election ever, I wouldn't count him out yet. He's just warming up!

[cally]

14. After the 3rd, I think Lieberman will drop out

I think both Edwards and Clark will drop out if they don't win some states by February 7th.

[MidwestMomma]

16. "This is what democracy looks like"

:wtf:

[mikehiggins]

18. Okay, fellas, lets go over this again.

Dean and Clark are at the heads of two grassroots campaigns with lots of workers and lots of regular folks chipping in money to keep the show on the road.

Even if Kerry "sweeps" the 3rd and the 7th he is not going to get all of the delegates involved. There is a number he has to reach in order to get the nomination and if Clark and Dean (and Edwards)(and Sharpton)stay in the race it is unlikely Kerry will be able to reach that number before the primaries stagger to a close.

If he doesn't, then he has to chance a convention BUT his mythical inevitability will have proven as illusory as Dean's did.

Soooo...why on earth would anyone drop out if the people were still behind them--and the Clark supporters and Dean supporters are clearly in if for the long haul--and the money keeps coming in? What else are they going to do for the next few months? Golf?

If they hang in tough and Kerry doesn't get his magic number, there is always a chance they will be able to cut a deal to the convention to deny Kerry the nod. Once the gavel goes down in Boston the fun will begin in earnest.

So, no matter what the media decrees, and no matter what the DNC asks, I think the only person likely to drop out is Jo-mentum himself, and even that isn't certain.

This is a whole new game, ladies and gentlemen, and the curtain has just gone up.

[MurikanDemocrat]

20. Just Lieberman

[nancyharris]

21. The one and only reason any candidate drops out of the race

is lack of money. As long as a candidate has money, as long as people are willing to support them with their dollars, there is no reason to withdraw from the race.

[Maddy McCall]

22. Clark shouldn't drop out until after Southern Tuesday

Dean is too arrogant to realize he shoulld have already dropped out.