Zogby wasn't so nutty after-all

[isbister]

Really only missed badly on Clark but within the MOE

Zogby.............95% reporting

Kerry 37 ............Kerry 39
Dean 24.............Dean 25
Edwards 12.........Edwards 12
Clark 9...............Clark 13
Lieberman 9........Lieberman 9
Kucinich 3...........Kucinich 1
Sharpton 0.........Sharpton 0

[spooky3]

1. yes, he did MUCH better this time--so did all the other pollsters

[Monument]

2. Zogby also clearly showd Kerry's gain in momentum leading to Iowa victory

although obviously he didn't poll the margin of victory, obviously he was tracking Kerry's connection with the people.

[West Coast Democrat]

3. Zogby stunk on candidates 3-5

Dropping Clark into a ties with Lieberman was RIDICULOUS!!!!

[Bucky]

4. The margin of error is always gonna be greater with smaller preference grp

nt

[West Coast Democrat]

5. Clark's drop was intentional with Zogby

he had to toy with his own results to put Clark in a tie with Lieberman.

[Turkw]

7. Zogby was on the tv today spinning against Clark.

I really do not like or trust Zogby

[Bucky]

6. Zogby vs ARG

I want to compare Zog's accuracy against ARG. From my experience with market research, I had a stronger belief in what ARG was reporting than what I saw coming out of Zogby. As it turns out, Zogby was closer on Kerry, Lieberman, and Edwards while ARG got it right on Clark and Dean.

. . . . N.H. . .ARG . Zogby
Kerry . 38.6 . . 35 . . 37
Dean. . 25.9 . . 25 . . 24
Clark . 12.5 . . 13. . . 9
Edwds . 12.0 . . 15 . . 12
Liebrm . 8.7. . . 6. . . 9

Error . ARG. . Zogby
Kerry . 3.6 . . 1.6
Dean. . 0.9 . . 1.9
Clark . 0.5 . . 3.5
Edwds . 3.0 . . -0-
Liebrm. 2.7 . . 0.3

[question everything]

8. I thought that Zogby put Kerry and Dean at a tie

But CNN got it right

From today's WSJ:

Zogby
Kerry...... 31%
Dean....... 29%
Clark...... 13%
Edwards.... 12%
Lieberman... 9%

American Reasearch Group

Kerry...... 38%
Dean....... 20%
Clark...... 15%
Edwards.... 16%
Lieberman... 5%

CNN/Gallup/USA

Kerry...... 36%
Dean....... 25%
Clark...... 10%
Edwards.... 10%
Lieberman... 6%

[Kahuna]

9. I always trusted Zogby's numbers. He has a very..

credible track record that can't be denied.

[Phelan]

12. yeah that being a rightwing pollster always makes me feel warm inside nt

[Indiana Democrat]

10. Of course he wasn't.

But don't tell that to the propaganda harpies.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. No Props For Zogby....

He had it a three point race early Monday when eberybody else had it a double digit race...


He only changed his numbers on his final poll to save his credibility....


He was more interested in pushing the meme that this was a close race than reporting the actual results....

[windansea]

13. exactly...zogby did a last minute about face

what a joke to praise him