Which Early State Is LEAST Representative Of Average Democrats

[THUNDER HANDS]

Iowa, New Hampshire or South Carolina?

My money is on South Carolina. Because, while it is the first state with a diverse population (50% of the voters there will probably be African American) and the largest of the early primary states, it's also a state we aren't going to win in November, no matter who we run.

So their democrats judging and having so much weight (it's a make-or-break state in a lot of ways) seems a less representative of what the party as a whole would like.

Iowa went for us last time, and New Hampshire independents might be fed up enough with Bush to vote for someone elese. So maybe those two states are smart enough since they're the first two contests, to really alalyze and judge who the best candidate really is.

So my vote is on South Carolina even though I think the caucus process is severely flawed and the New Hampshire primary is so lily-white it's not representative of the party as a whole either.

But what do you think?

[Rowdyboy]

1. Iowa is just as "lily-white" as New Hampshire

New Hampshire allows Republicans and Independents to vote in their primary. Both are totally unrepresentative of average Democratic voters.

on edit: Iowa is 91% white; New Hampshire is 95% white...according to latest demographics I could find. South Carolina's minority population put it more in the mainstream.

[mitchtv]

2. you may be right , but not all aspects.

South Carolinians are far too conservative to even approach what is considered mainstream for Dems.That includes Black voters.

[dolstein]

3. Isn't it interesting how lily-white Iowa and New Hampshire

are considered more representative of the Democratic Party than South Carolina, which is the first state with a sizable African American population?

Although South Carolina isn't likely to wind up in the Democratic column this fall, the Democratic electorate is far more diverse -- and, in that respect, representative of Democrats nationwide -- than either Iowa or New Hampshire.

[THUNDER HANDS]

4. but if 50% of people voting in that state's primary are black

that's waaaay disproportunate to the number of blacks across the country who vote Dem.

Which is why Al Sharpton is polling 3rd.