Chafee not looking as vulnerable in RI anymore (new polls)

[WI_DEM]

Found this on Daily Kos.

"fresh off the glorious victories by women's groups who pushed Rep. Langevin out of the Senate race in RI we find that the incumbent Republican isn't looking so bad anymore..."

Chafee: 44%
Sec of State Brown: 27%

Chafee: 41%
Ex-Atty Gen. Whitehouse: 31%

but when it was assumed that Langevin was running, Chafee was in deep do-do:

Langevin: 52%
Chafee: 32%
(Dem poll)

Langevin: 41%
Chafee: 27%
(Brown University Poll)

"We've gone from a slam-dunk ouster of a Republican in the most democratic state in the union, to a tough battle to defat an incumbent Senator."

http://www.dailykos.com

Apparently women groups opposed Langevin because he is not pro-choice, despite a very liberal overall record.

[Mass]

1. 41 % and 44% for a sitting senator

whose name is known statewide is not that great.

I know that kos is mad because Langevin renounced to run, but I am not that sure that his polls were not boosted in Jan because of the closeness of the presidential election and that the same thing would not have happened.

In addition, there is no surprise that groups supporting women's reproductive rights would be reluctant to support an antichoice candidate when the other candidate is prochoice.

Anyway, let the campaign start and we will see.

[LittleClarkie]

2. Why is Kos willing to sell out the choice crowd

but is all up in arms in support of the same sex marriage crowd. Why is one group more important to him than the other?

I just went over there and posted that question. Let's see if anyone answers me.

[WI_DEM]

4. true but Arlen Specter was in such territory last year

and survived.

[Mass]

5. But RI is a lot bluer than PA

Chafee has only his name to run on, nothing else.

[returnable]

3. Actually, I like those numbers

An incumbent with less than 50% is still very vulnerable.

Langevin was the bigger "name", so that's where the support, and superior numbers, came from. Brown and/or Whitehouse's numbers will get a boost once their respective profiles in the race are increased.

Chafee is going down.

[ProudToBeLiberal]

6. thats what they said about George W. Bush

and he still won.

[returnable]

7. Touche!

:hi:

Still, I wouldn't give up on Rhode Island just yet. I don't *think* they use Diebold machines, for one...

[leesa]

8. Was that his gift for supporting Bolton? A little poll manipulation

courtesy of the thugs of the GOP.

[tritsofme]

9. Why is it hard to believe that a moderate Republican

that is an incumbent will most likely win reelection after a term of little controversy?