How good are the British exit polls?

[kansasblue]

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By Mike Peacock

LONDON (Reuters)

Exit polling is not an exact science. In the 1992 election, for example, surveys of voters at the exit of polling stations predicted a Labour victory which never materialized.

Actual results should begin coming in around 2300 GMT, with the outcome clear by early Friday morning.

"If the exit poll holds true this is incredibly bad news for Blair," said Mark Wickham-Jones, senior lecturer in politics at Bristol university. "The result is much better than the Conservatives thought they were going to get. "

http://today.reuters.com/news/newsArticle.aspx?type=topNews&storyID=2005-05-05T212709Z_01_N05486023_RTRIDST_0_NEWS-BRITAIN-ELECTION-DC.XML


http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=DK1LE312BFTOWCRBAEKSFFA?type=topNews&storyID=8403561

[Bok_Tukalo]

1. The only reliable exit polls are those conducted in the Ukraine

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[AP]

2. Wrong in 92, right in 97 and 01.