I'm not buying the AP Poll with Bush at 45% - It's horribly weighted

[liberalpragmatist]

You know the AP/Ipsos poll that shows Bush at 54% disapproval, 45% approval. I don't buy it. Here's why:

They give Democrats a 52-40 lead on party identification. I wish, but unfortunately for our party it's not 1955.

http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/client/act_dsp_pdf.cfm?name=mr050210-3tbAP.pdf&id=2552

I'd love to believe this, but we give Gallup shit over their absurd weighting (+9 Republicans?!) and there can't be a double standard.

What's Bush's real approval rating? Probably right around 50%, give or take a little.

[paineinthearse]

1. Zogby has been quite since the heist, errrrrr election......

....does Zogby not do national polls?

[loudsue]

2. No. It's just telling me that only 40% of Americans are REALLY repukes,

and that's why they had to steal the election.

:kick::kick:

[FloridaPat]

3. You misread those stats: 54% disapprove. With the weighting,

the approval rate should be 35%.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

4. That Dem over Rep leads been there a while. I posted it not

too long ago and people jumped on it (yes,really). Saying that Dems always lead -- doesn't mean anything.

All B** other issues are up like Iraq -- worth it, Fight On Terrorism - Bravo, etc.

He may be getting hurt on the SS and budget. I mean this seems really stupid for B* to come out and cut food stamps. This just reminds people of that "he's for the rich" persona.

probably wrong, hope right

[GetTheRightVote]

5. This country is in for very bad times unless they do disapprove of *

:kick:

[John_H]

6. I sort of agree with you except that

the reality of 4 more years of chimp is starting to sink in.

[zann725]

7. My guess is about 30%. I don't think it's EVER been more than that.

I also believe it was Kerry in a landslide...if all tampering, suppression, etc. is factored in.

...30%, IF Shrub is lucky.

[Geek_Girl]

8. I think it's pretty close

Rasmussen had him at 48% today

LInk I would say his approval rating is somewhere in the mid to high 40's