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Will Edwards be the odd man out in New Hampshire ?

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kentuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 10:16 PM
Original message
Will Edwards be the odd man out in New Hampshire ?
Clark has been campaigning pretty heavily and has built up more than 20% support in NH. As we speak, Howard Dean is still the favorite by more than 30% fo the voters of NH. It is doubtful that many will desert him because of Iowa. John Kerry will get somewhat of a bounce out of his caucus victory in Iowa but will now have to face the scrutiny and pressure of being the front-runner. Still, he should be competitive with the General in NH. John Edwards will be left with scraps in NH unfotunately. This race is getting very interesting. :)
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lovedems Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 10:22 PM
Response to Original message
1. I was wondering what the results of tonight mean for the candidates.
Edited on Mon Jan-19-04 10:41 PM by lovedems
Because Dean is doing well in NH and with the Kerry/Edwards at #1 & #2, how does this effect NH? Is Clark going to bump down and Kerry/Edwards get a huge boost? Will NH turn Iowa on it's head? What does all this mean for Clark, Kerry, Dean, Edwards going into HN?

Edit: Sorry, had Clark at the top and you were mentioning Edwards specifically. OOPS!
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BigMcLargehuge Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 10:24 PM
Response to Original message
2. Edwars will do well here
he's been in NH so much I am surprised he doesn't have a NH drivers licence. And most of his events have been well attended, or so I have heard/seen.

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Cuban_Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 10:25 PM
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3. We're gonna peel some votes off of Joe Lieberman and Gen. Clark.
We've decided that WE want 3rd place! ;)
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leftist_rebel1569 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 10:31 PM
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4. Edwards will do great
He'll get a boost along with Kerry, and Dean and Clark will fall a little because of it. It'll be the same thing as Iowa IMO except Clark in the place of Gephardt.

And i'm not implying that Clark will drop out or he'll do bad, i'm just insinuating that there'll be a 4-way race in NH, and it'll be hard to predict who'll win
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OHdem10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 10:36 PM
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5. Edwards, Clark and Lieberman
will go down inNH unless Lieberman like Kucinich just keeps on going.
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Cuban_Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 10:37 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Edwards will take 3rd.
Clark will go down.
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arewethereyet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 10:45 PM
Response to Original message
7. I don't think so, but I've been wrong before
well lets see, when last we looked it was:

Dean 28
Clark 20
Kerry 19
Lieberman 6
Edwards 8
Gephardt 3

ARG Tracking (1/16-18)
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/new_hampshire_polls.html

So Kerry and Clark are statistically even. Kerry and Edwards have to get a bump form somewhere.

Gephardt's 3 so somewhere.
Dean will be dipping because he was headed that way already.
Edwards takes from Clark and Lieberman.
Kerry takes from Dean and Clark.

IMHO I'm thinking Clark is the most likely odd man out though it will probably be close. But I thought Iowa would be close, stupid me.
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