Quick Ohio Math. What Kerry needs to do to win (tonight)

[Bucky]

Thanks to Microsoft Excel for these calculations.

With 74% of the vote counted (and 26% remaining) it's Bush up by 127,000 votes:
Bush - 2,154,140 (51.5%)
Kerry- 2,027,229 (48.5%)

That's not counting Nader in the percentages, of course

If the remaining 25% of the precincts return the same proportions of votes per precinct, then another 1,320,000 votes will be cast. To beat Bush, Kerry needs to get about 128,000 more votes than Bush out of that 1.3mil. That means the remainder has to be:

Bush - 596,216 (45.2%)
Kerry- 724,216 (54.8%)

So the question here is: are the remaining votes coming from precincts where Kerry is likely to pull in 55% of the vote? If no, we lose. If yes, we still need to win Hawaii to win the presidency.

[Lex]

1. Heavily Democratic Cleveland is the last to be counted?

That's what I understand.

[meisje]

2. nadar not on ballot in ohio