Name your SURPRISE state

[newsguyatl]

Which state, if any, do you think will have all the politicos and pundits on Tuesday night in total shock?

I'll go first -- I think VA is going Kerry.

[Arkana]

1. Arkansas

It'll go blue by like 2% and it'll shock the pundits.

[progressivebydesign]

2. Idaho. n/t

[newsguyatl]

7. lol

[progressivebydesign]

32. Was that a LOL about my choice? Or... well.. you know.. n/t

[newsguyatl]

38. haha, sorry, i thought you were joking

but more power to you if you think idaho can go blue!!

[WINEWOMAN7]

42. Idaho

Don't laugh. I have lived in Idaho my whole life. There is an increase in new voters in Idaho as well. I personally know Repubicans voting for Kerry. I don't know if Idaho will go blue but I don't think it will be a landslide for Bush. Remember, Idaho is a state that also elected Frank Church and Cecil Andurs.

Dian

[Mr_Spock]

49. Nevada

[NNadir]

3. Texas. Missouri. Arkansas.

[WolverineDG]

21. Texas

Shrubbie's having to make a campaign stop here in dallas tomorrow.

dg

[lastliberalintexas]

67. Yep, Texas

Saying it will be a surprise doesn't mean Kerry wins it- but it certainly is looking like it will be closer than we ever could have imagined.

[Guava Jelly]

4. missouri

alot of new registered voters

[missouri dem]

12. And a great groud campaign.

We know where our voters are and will not let them stay home on Tuesday.

[nookiemonster]

25. That is great news!! The new voter trend will swing it to Blue

[Orangepeel]

5. Nevada. n/t

[newsguyatl]

i doubt nevada either way would be

much of a surprise.

it's considered a battleground state.

i'm talking about a state that's considered in the bag for one or the other.

[Downtown Hound]

Ditto

it'll be close but Kerry will take it.

[Bozos for Bush]

6. Arkansas

Big Dog is gonna come through.

[CoolOnion]

8. Texas

[Straight Shooter]

16. Texas? He said "shock the pundits," not give them heart attacks!

:)

[cheshire]

9. Missouri

[kevin881]

10. west VA

[Straight Shooter]

11. Arkansas

and I'll second you on Virginia.

:thumbsup:

[wellstone_democrat]

13. Virginia

just a feeling

[newsguyatl]

20. i know right!

i don't know why, but i just have this GUT feeling kerry's gonna take VA.

i wish to god, the kerry camp would make a last minute surprise visit to va, and scare the shit out of bushco.

[magnolia]

39. Virginia too...

I don't want a visit to scare our repubs...I like them the way they are, nice and complacent with a false sense of confidence.

[newsguyatl]

43. that's true

[johnnyrocket]

47. Kerry's gonna do it! VA by 1 or 2 points for Kerry!

[Sparkly]

56. That's my feeling too -- if anywhere, Virginia

I'd love to see Arkansas go blue too, though!

[NastyDiaper]

14. N/C

[Road Scholar]

26. Ditto!!! Carolina blue. !!!!!!!!! n/t

[newsguyatl]

34. i love your enthusiam

and i hope you're right, but north carolina is one of the reddest states in the nation.

it'd take a miracle for kerry to pull it thru.


but we can all hope right?


GOTV!

[Lex]

62. NOT. Last time I looked, Bush was only ahead by 3 points here.

And they sent Cheney to Wilmington last week because they are clearly nervous.

North Carolina is hardly one of the "reddest states" in the nation.

[KoKo]

77. Agree....I think NC will squeak through...At least our numbers so far with

early vote are looking really good. Now if the fundies send out mobs on Tuesday...it could throw it...but I know Dems who've tried to vote two and three times in early voting but lines too long and they said they will be there on Election Day until the polls close to vote to get Bush out..

So...I think...it's THE SURPRISE...15 Electoral Votes.

[Zynx]

15. Virginia or Missouri.

[Norbert]

17. West Virginia

I think they will be pissed that Rove used the Bible as a prop to get them to vote for bush.

[clydefrand]

18. Yes! Virginia

[Kal Belgarion]

19. VA

I'm feeling good about our chances there. I think there are plenty of Republicans there who're going to pull the lever for Kerry.

[Brucey]

22. You won't like this....

Florida will be the one talked about again.... Votes will favor Kerry, but count will go to Bush*. It will anger people again. Shrub's election will be illegitimate again. (I so hope that I am wrong!!)

[newsguyatl]

29. yeh, well florida's florida

in this thread, i'm talking about those states that AREN'T battlegrounds.

[Oreo]

30. I'm resigned to this fact

FL is going to be stolen but I think Kerry will still win.
I would love to see a Kerry win and somehow for actionable proof to show that Bush stole FL.

[Endangered Specie]

35. NC

:)

[yardwork]

52. I agree - I predict a win for Kerry in North Carolina

and I'm certain of a Kerry win in Virginia. I would bet on Virginia.

[HFishbine]

60. NC - Record-breaking turnout

GOTV like you've never seen before, BAaaaBBYY! State Board of Elections is now predicting 66% turnout -- largest ever! Early voters nearly 40% of 2000 total (majority Dem).

[johnnyrocket]

51. Bush voted out PLUS jail time! Cool, that would be sweet justice!

[Oreo]

23. NC

I was just their a couple weeks ago and the Kerry signs were everywhere. My mom and dad are actually canvassing... I was shocked.
My mom said 2 Kerry people from DC knocked on their door the other day and were in a really good mood. I wonder if Kerry/Edwards know something more than they're letting on about North Cackalacky.

I NC turning blue would make up for the travesty they call Helms

[carolinalady]

44. i agree very blue in Wilmington

[Claire Beth]

53. I'm pulling for NC everyday!

just like I am TN. There is NO WAY that Chimpy has a double digit lead here.

[madaboutharry]

24. Arizona

Brought to you by the same voters who brought you Gov. Janet Napolitano. The Native American Nations and republican women who are pissed off at the christian right that has taken over the party, don't want their sons blown up in Iraq and are worried about their mothers' social security checks and medicare coverage.

[newsguyatl]

36. if az goes blue

i know that'd shock the hell out of me!

[Kimber Scott]

63. Get ready for a jolt! nt

[vademocrat]

27. Virginia -

In Richmond we've gotten 215 volunteer drivers for the GOTV effort on tuesday - WAY more than expected. I've got a good feeling that VA's going BLUE this year!

[newsguyatl]

37. that's excellent

you're right, if northern and parts of central va turns out strong, you guys can beat out redneck southern va, and turn that state blue, it really can happen.

[vademocrat]

41. The Roanoke Times endorsed Kerry - SW VA is hurting under *

I think it's a realistic possibility - one that will shock the "pundits".



:D

[johnnyrocket]

55. Oh, the 'pundits' are going to be more than shocked! DEMORALIZED..

more like it!

Does anyone else get the feeling that the big media pundits are droning their predictions yet they come across as archaic thinkers...it's like they're all dinosaurs.

Let's hope they're all extinct very soon!

[twenty2strings]

28. arkansas

:kick: i've been in this state since 1980 and i still cant figure it out. some really nice smart people but we were kind of a rebel state in the first civil war. why "civil" war? it wasn't... maybe the next one will be. as zappa sez; TAX THE CHURCHES!

[Amaya]

31. Nevada

or Arizona

[southern democrat]

33. I agree on Va and NC may be a shocker

[The River]

40. Virginia

I live in the shadow of Jefferson's Tomb
He has been spinning in his grave since
December '00 and making quite a racket.
His Democracy is in grave danger!
Lately though, he has begun to slow down.
After each Presidential debate the RPM's decreased.
With just a few hours to go he is nearly quiet now,
secure in the knowledge his State will help return
Democracy to his beloved mountain.

Even the dead know Bush* is toast.

[Claire Beth]

45. Tennessee

I live here and there is NO WAY that chimpy has a double digit lead. I hear too many reports from too many people all across the state. If Chimpy wins here, I believe it will be very close.

[cynatnite]

57. I think TN will be a very hard win

if it's a win at all. I'm not sure what to think when it comes to this state.

Last night when I took my son out, yeah, we had Halloween last night, I saw nothing but * signs <sigh> but we did go to the well-to-do part of town. It was a little depressing.

* will have a hard time winning this state. I can't see it by such a wide margin as has been said.

[mvd]

46. West Virginia

Virginia and Arkansas, too. I think there could be three surprise states in favor of Kerry.

[JohnLocke]

48. Nevada (nt)

[Mr_Spock]

50. Nevada

[kaitykaity]

54. Arkansas.

Thank you, Big Dog.
:loveya:

[ThePhilosopher04]

58. I too think Virginia will be the shocker...

but if you want to place a longshot bet, place it on Louisiana! All of the recent polls show Shrub up substantially, but if there is an overwhelming turnout, it will certainly be close and I wouldn't be surprised if the Bayou State turns blue.

[lastliberalintexas]

69. With the Senate race

LA should go Dem. And the last couple of major elections in LA have gone Dem (Landrieu in 2002 and the state races in 2003). I'll actually be more surprised (and disappointed) if my Cajun friends go repub than if VA goes Dem!

[iwantmycountryback]

59. Virginia

I can tell it's gonna be a shocker. That or Missouri or Arkansas. Or maybe Utah. ;)

[newsguyatl]

61. utah?

bwahaha, no way!

[Technowitch]

64. Texas

Okay, maybe not Texas.

Arkansas tops my list of 'surprise' states that seem likely to go Dem this year.

[tbetz]

65. Does anyone know what Gore was polling in VA this time in 2000?

I see Kerry is polling now the same percentage Gore received in the actual 2000 vote, 43%. What was Gore polling in VA the weekend before election day?

[uhhuh]

66. South Dakota

I know, I Know. But it could happen!

I think Daschle would be the most shocked.

[Demi_Babe]

68. North Carolina

[MO_Dem]

70. I would love for it to be MO

But there's probably a better chance that it'd be AR, what with Big Dog being there today.

[Tatiana]

71. Colorado.

Also New Hampshire, Nevada, and I agree with Virginia.

[Renew Deal]

72. Virginia

[T Bone]

73. Kentucky or South Dakota

We won special congressional elections there in areas that went for Bush in 2000.

I will grant they are longshots, but that is why it will be surprising.

[absolutezero]

74. I know it's been said already

but I think Texas....hell, all of them hopefully, I'd like to see the pundits on faux figure that one out

[ZombieNixon]

75. I'll see your Texas

and raise you an Arkansas.

[LiberteToujours]

76. NEVADA

eom

[Maiden England]

78. Louisiana

watch us go blue and the GOP have a cow. Marvellous television, marvellous.

[Kazak]

79. Oklahoma...

Naaaah...doubt it, but I would love it!! My vote would actually count for once.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

80. Utah....

The Utes are on the warpath...

[mountainvue]

81. Ah, what the

hell...Georgia.

[Stinky The Clown]

82. Virginia

[Oddman]

83. virginia

[davepc]

84. West Virgina

[stevietheman]

85. Nevada...

and possibly Colorado. Now, if Virginia goes Kerry, the media will be exploding.

[LSK]

86. Arkansas, Colorado, Missouri, North Carolina