AZ Republic Poll: Who do you plan to vote for on Tuesday?

[Kimber Scott]

Already 59.23% to Kerry, 39% to Bush! I hope this is accurate! In Arizona? Wow! :bounce:

Scroll down. Poll on left.

http://www.azcentral.com/

[dolstein]

1. I hate to break this to you, but . . . .

There is no Santa Claus.

There is no Easter bunny.

There is no Tooth fairy.

And online polls are inherently unscientific and, ergo, inaccurate.

[Kimber Scott]

5. But, Virginia, this online poll always leans HEAVILY Republican. It's

a Republican Newspaper. They endorsed Bush. So, while I understand online polls are not even close to being scientific, this is a real break in the trend in the polls in this paper over the last three years.

So, maybe there is a Santa Claus, after all.

Clinton won here once and we now have a Democrat for a governor. Don't be so pessimistic!

[NMDemDist2]

6. that is very true, this is a Repug paper all the way and even thought

Bush won the 3rd debate by about 70%

[Kimber Scott]

7. Were you here when we had the Phoenix Gazette?

It was published by the same company as the Arizona Republic, but leaned to the left a little. I wonder if we'll ever get another paper like that?

[NMDemDist2]

8. no, but the Republic was taken over by Gannett a couple years ago n/t

[NMDemDist2]

2. i beg to differ...... we have a real shot at winning AZ

STATE TOTALS of registered voters as of 10/25/2004

Ind 655,554

Dems 914,264

Libertarian 18,261

Repubs 1,055,252

total 2,643,331

http://www.azsos.gov/election/Active_Voter_Count.pdf

According to Zogby's poll on Oct. 21:

Mr. Bush holds a small lead among men, while Mr. Kerry holds an unusually small edge among women. A bright spot for Mr. Kerry here – he leads among independents by a 62% to 31% margin.

so let's do the math shall we?

Bush gets Repubs + Libertarians + 1/3 of Indies = 1,292,031 48.87%

Kerry gets Dems + 2/3 of Indies = 1,351,300 51.12%

we win by a comfortable 2.25% margin

[Kathleen04]

3. Oh how I'd love to see that

I think we have a real shot at winning Nevada too.

Gore states + Arizona + Nevada = Kerry win

Gore states + OH = Kerry win

Gore states + FL = Kerry win

Gore states + Arizona + Nevada + Ohio + Florida = Big time party at my place! :party: ;)

[Blue Gardener]

4. Done!

Looks Good!