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Ohio:Kerry surged from a 7 percentage-point deficit into a tie with Bush"

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unfrigginreal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:48 AM
Original message
Ohio:Kerry surged from a 7 percentage-point deficit into a tie with Bush"
8 votes apart

After nearly 80 candidate visits to Ohio, untold millions spent in ads, 500 more Americans killed in Iraq and 13,300 additional jobs lost in the state, the presidential race is back to where it was seven months ago.

Dead even.

President Bush and Sen. John Kerry are tied at just less than 50 percent in a new Dispatch Poll.

How close is this matchup? Kerry leads by a mere eight votes out of 2,880 ballots returned in the mail survey — the tightest margin ever in a final Dispatch Poll.

snip

However, in the past four weeks Kerry has surged from a 7 percentage-point deficit into a tie with Bush. And several signs indicate the Massachusetts senator has gained the momentum in Ohio.

http://www.dispatch.com/election/election-president.php?story=dispatch/2004/10/31/20041031-A1-00.html
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:50 AM
Response to Original message
1. "Kerry is ahead by 14 points among independent voters" Lights out!
That's the game right there. There are slightly more Dems than Republicans in Ohio and Indies hold the key and they are going for Kerry.
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Hokie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:52 AM
Response to Original message
2. It all about GOTV
It is there for the taking. If Kerry wins Ohio we can add President in front of his name for the next 8 years.
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Indykatie Donating Member (416 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:52 AM
Response to Original message
3. Ohio Will Go for Kerry!!
Someone should get this news to Charlie Cook who seems to think Ohio is trending for *.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:53 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. He's watching that one Zogby state tracking poll which is no good.
Zogby's state polls were no good in 2000 as they put Bush within a point in CA at the end. I think he does robo-calling like SUSA.
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cubsfan forever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 10:04 AM
Response to Reply #3
9. GOTV Welcome to DU, Indykatie! n/t
Professor 2
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rndmprsn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:54 AM
Response to Original message
5. OH will def go for kerry...
i stake my rep on it.
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still_one Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:54 AM
Response to Original message
6. Please God make it so
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:55 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. Ohio, IMO, is almost a lock for Kerry.
Things are trending our way so heavily in Ohio that momentum alone will bring us victory.
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Quixote1818 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:57 AM
Response to Original message
8. Tim Russert said Republicans feel they must be up by 3 in Ohio to win!
Tim Russert said Republicans feel they must be up by 3 in Ohio to win! Due to all newly registered voters.
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nolabels Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 10:05 AM
Response to Original message
10. I think another good reason they wanted to skew the polls is..........
It would curb the enthusiasm in getting new people to registrar and vote.
I guessing it's starting to backfire on them now :D

Thank goodness words outlive trends

(snip)

Word History: "Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm," said the very quotable Ralph Waldo Emerson, who also said, "Everywhere the history of religion betrays a tendency to enthusiasm." These two uses of the word enthusiasmone positive and one negativeboth derive from its source in Greek. Enthusiasm first appeared in English in 1603 with the meaning "possession by a god." The source of the word is the Greek enthousiasmos, which ultimately comes from the adjective entheos, "having the god within," formed from en, "in, within," and theos, "god." Over time the meaning of enthusiasm became extended to "rapturous inspiration like that caused by a god" to "an overly confident or delusory belief that one is inspired by God," to "ill-regulated religious fervor, religious extremism," and eventually to the familiar sense "craze, excitement, strong liking for something." Now one can have an enthusiasm for almost anything, from water skiing to fast food, without religion entering into it at all
(snip)
http://www.thefreedictionary.com/Enthusiasm
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