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Anyone see the alleged Newsweek poll having Kerry 6 pts up?

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MikeG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 10:00 AM
Original message
Anyone see the alleged Newsweek poll having Kerry 6 pts up?
Edited on Sat Oct-30-04 10:00 AM by MikeG
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apnu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 10:01 AM
Response to Original message
1. heard much talk but no links yet.... so I'm dubious. n/t
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trotsky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 10:02 AM
Response to Original message
2. Sounds like a statistical tie to me!
Now if * were up 6, that would be an INSURMOUNTABLE LEAD and Kerry may as well concede now.

So whaddya think, am I ready to be an anchor on CNN?
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ogradda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 10:11 AM
Response to Reply #2
9. looks to me like you passed to the head of the class!
keep it up you can anchor for fox soon! :)
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unfrigginreal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 10:02 AM
Response to Original message
3. Why don't you wait until the poll comes out instead of falling
for a posters rumor. It's coming out this hour. I hope it's right but more than likely it was posted in hopes of producing a 'let down' on DU.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 10:05 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. the person who wrote that made it up to 265 posts....
if it was bullshit i hope the mods don't let him get to 266...
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MikeG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 10:06 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. I'm just trying to see if anyone else has heard it.
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chieftain Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 10:04 AM
Response to Original message
4. MSNBC says it will report the poll results in the 11:00 EDT.
Broadcast . Nothing so far .
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MockSwede Donating Member (579 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 10:08 AM
Response to Reply #4
7. Polls versus GOTV
How about forgetting watching the polls and helping get out the vote? Keystrokes in the virtual world do not vote - people AT the polls in the real world do. Dems are doing pretty well in GOTV but every one of you could be helping call or walk canvas or stuff literature or collate flusher lists or work as pollwatcher, etc. There's more than enough to do in actual vote work in the real world.
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MikeG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 10:09 AM
Response to Reply #7
8. Only one time did a poll depress turnout. 1948. Give it a rest.
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MockSwede Donating Member (579 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 09:11 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. Depressed
I'm not talking about polls leading action. I'm talking about wasting much time watching polls instead of using the time to GOTV. I'm averaging four hours of phone time in ME and NH to get undecideds to vote Kerry compared to one hour cruising the keystrokes.
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Harlan James Donating Member (403 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 10:12 AM
Response to Original message
10. It's Bush that is up 6
It's on the Newsweek site.
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Zen Democrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 10:20 AM
Response to Original message
11. Newsweek Conclusion: Bush up 6 with + or - 4 = statistical dead heat
Newsweek says one or the other candidate must be up by at least 9 to cover the margin of error.

Same bullshit. Bush approval rating at 47%. Nothing to see here - Move on.
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TheWebHead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 09:15 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. +/- 4 would be either up 2 or up 10 for Bush
though their methodology is flawed, imo, as they're oversampling republicans like Gallup has been.
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NOWMDNOGWB Donating Member (59 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 09:30 PM
Response to Original message
14. over sample pubs
if you re-weigh it to the auctual percentage of registered voters nationwide which is a 3-4 % democratic advantage Kerry leads by 1-2%
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