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And the winds just keep on blowing(new Harris poll Kerry 48-47)

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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 02:25 PM
Original message
And the winds just keep on blowing(new Harris poll Kerry 48-47)
Remember Harris nailed the 2000 election.

George W. Bush 47%
John Kerry 48
Ralph Nader 1
Other 1
Not sure/Refused 2

http://online.wsj.com/public/article/0,,SB109881689996956098,00.html?mod=todays%5Ffree%5Ffeature
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DaveinMD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 02:27 PM
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1. and that's
likely voters. We are going to win.
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cliss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 02:29 PM
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2. I was listening to Air America Radio yesterday,
and the founder of Daily Kos (forgot his name) mentioned that right now, Prez Bush is holding at 47%. He said this is actually catastrophic for him because NO president has ever gone under 50% and managed to get himself re-elected.

He said that Bush will most probably go down to defeat.

======================

pulling out the champagne.
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Goldmund Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 02:35 PM
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3. What did the previous Harris poll say?
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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 02:42 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Bush up by 8
Edited on Wed Oct-27-04 02:47 PM by demdem
Kerry 48, Bush 47 amongst LVs. Apparently this is the "stricter" model that had Bush up 51 to 43 two weeks ago (as opposed to their less strict model that had Bush up 48 to 46). I'm not entirely sure thats accurate, but either way, this is a good poll from a very good pollster (who came closer than Zogby to nailing the 2000 final result).

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David__77 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 02:43 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. On 10/20, Harris showed Bush 48, Kerry 46.
http://washingtontimes.com/upi-breaking/20041020-012729-2408r.htm

Washington Times headlined: "Bush leads in new Harris poll"

I doubt they'd say "Kerry leads" if he had a two-point lead...
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Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 02:44 PM
Response to Reply #3
7. Last Harris Poll
Had Kerry and Bush Even at 48 % each
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West Coast Democrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 02:46 PM
Response to Reply #3
8. They had 2 different likely voter scenarios, with * up in both
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David Zephyr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 02:41 PM
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4. Yeah! ABC, Washington Post and Now Harris with Kerry Up!
Even Zogby has corrected himself and is catching up with all the new national polls that have Kerry on top in the last days.

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DemocracyInaction Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 02:46 PM
Response to Original message
9. As Tweety said this a.m. on MSNBC..........
Kerry has the wind at his back. That Thursday is when there is a good indicator of who is going to win because of who has the "mo" at that time. And, he said if Kerry can maintain that into tomorrow, he wins. This is another "mo" indicator. I'm waiting for Bush to pull a "fake" assassination attempt in order to get 'pity'. These guys will do anything if they go into a panic!!!
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