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Does Anybody Have The Internals For The Democracy Corps Poll

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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-04 09:27 AM
Original message
Does Anybody Have The Internals For The Democracy Corps Poll
Edited on Tue Oct-26-04 09:28 AM by DemocratSinceBirth
Party I D is what I'm looking for...


I would feel much more comfortable about the poll if it has a "conservative" estimate of the percentage of Dems, Reps, and Indys who will be voting....


I expect the electorate to look something like this... I am basing it on exit polls from the past three presidential elections and anecdotal evidence about current Democratic passion to oust Bush:



39% Democratic

35% Republican

26% Indy....

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NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-04 09:28 AM
Response to Original message
1. dailykos post said it was 50% Dems
and only 6% indies. If true I would throw this poll in the trash.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-04 09:30 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. He Didn't Say That.... A Poster Said That....
Stanley Greeenberg is not stupid...


He's a professor for the love of God...
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NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-04 09:32 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. ???? nt
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-04 09:32 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. The Host Started A Thread...
And one of the people who posts there posted that...
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NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-04 09:33 AM
Response to Reply #7
8. so what are the real numbers? eom
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-04 09:35 AM
Response to Reply #8
9. That's What I'm Trying To Find Out (nt)
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JI7 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-04 09:30 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. agree, if those numbers are true we can't trust it
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Nicholas D Wolfwood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-04 09:29 AM
Response to Original message
2. No, the 39-35 was what happened in 2000.
Expect more like 42-31 Dem
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-04 09:31 AM
Response to Reply #2
5. Never....
If I believed that was remotely true I'd be sleeping better....
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Nicholas D Wolfwood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-04 09:38 AM
Response to Reply #5
11. Then start sleeping better. Here's proof.
No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:
% of total category % of category

39 Democrat 86 11 0 2
35 Republican 8 91 0 1
27 Independent 45 47 1 6

It's right there in black and white, about a quarter of the page down. That's the 2000 exit poll results. If you don't think we're going to beat that this time around, you need to open your eyes. We're motivated, we've already proven we're organized with the record donations and the Sinclair boycott, and we're ready to vote!

http://www.msnbc.com/m/d2k/g/polls.asp?office=P&state=N1
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unfrigginreal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-04 09:35 AM
Response to Original message
10. Here's the Party ID question
Edited on Tue Oct-26-04 09:35 AM by unfrigginreal
Q.96 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican or what?
Total
Strong Democrat ............29
Weak Democrat.............. 11
Independent-lean Democrat ..10
Independent ................ 6
Independent-lean Republican. 8
Weak Republican ............ 9
Strong Republican.......... 26
(Don't know/Refused) ....... 0
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-04 09:43 AM
Response to Reply #10
12. 50-43...
That kind of makes sense...

Indys do lean one way or the other...
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NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-26-04 09:48 AM
Response to Reply #12
13. This is good then
It's an informal response so it inidicates a psychological disposition to the question. It shows half the repsondents ID'd with the Dems.
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