1. There are 2 new polls out showing it within the margin of error
on one of the polls some DUers said it oversampled republicans. But I don't know about the other. They said something about it only sampling 2/3's of the population or something. Oahu maybe. And they said that that part of the state had the largest military population. Do a search for Hawaii in the DU engine and you'll find plenty of threads on this phenomenon
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