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The one thing propping up Bush's support is the perception that he can keep us safe -- as Jeff Greenfield puts it, the strategy is "vote for Bush or you'll die."
This story, which is the lead in the New York Times, with more to follow on "60 Minutes," is guaranteed to dominate the news cycle for a few days, and it knocks the legs out from under that supposition. It also points up everything that's wrong with this administration:
We now learn that 380 tons of the "world's most powerful conventional explosives" have disappeared from a facility that was "supposed to be under American military control." These explosives are "used to demolish buildings, make missile warheads and detonate nuclear weapons."
The story goes on to say that Condi Rice, who has been out giving speeches in battleground states in an effort to salvage Bush's reputation as a foreign policy wiz, "was informed within the past month that the explosives were missing. It is unclear whether President Bush was informed."
So who was asleep at the wheel when Chimpy wanted to rush to war and Rummy wanted to invade with too few troops to guard sensitive stockpiles? And who's been sleeping since, while the wolves tramp through the woods with explosives from Al Qaqaa? Or were they hoping we wouldn't notice?
"Dr. ElBaradei, a European diplomat said, is "extremely concerned" about the potentially "devastating consequences" of the vanished stockpile.
"A special property of HMX and RDX lends them to smuggling and terrorism, experts said. While violently energetic when detonated, they are insensitive to shock and physical abuse during handling and transport because of their chemical stability. . . . Experts said the insensitivity made them safer to transport than the millions of unexploded shells, mines and pieces of live ammunition that litter Iraq. And its benign appearance makes it easy to disguise as harmless goods, easily slipped across borders."
And finally, we learn that: "More worrisome to the I.A.E.A. - and to some in Washington - is that HMX and RDX are used in standard nuclear weapons design. In a nuclear implosion weapon, the explosives crush a hollow sphere of uranium or plutonium into a critical mass, initiating the nuclear explosion."
Remember Cheney saying terrorists could get into an American city with a nuclear device? Has his own administration just handed them one component of making such a bomb? At the very least, do we now have to worry about high-quality explosives being used against our troops, our interests, our citizens?
Once the implications of this story begin to sink in -- and here's hoping Kerry and the Dems do their part, and that you will bring up these points with your undecided acquaintances -- the earth will begin to shift. Wavering voters will say, "If he can't keep us safe, what good is he?"
And on election day, you heard it here first, every state that is not bedrock red goes to Kerry: at least 350 electoral votes. Landslide.
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