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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-04 11:05 PM
Original message
Ipsos-AP - the new voters favor Kerry
from the always-great www.emergingdemocraticmajority.com

New Voters for Kerry

A new Ipsos-AP analysis of their poll data shows new voters leaning very heavily toward Kerry.

Among LVs who are new voters, Kerry is favored over Bush by a smashing 25 points, 60-35. Moreover, these new voters were twice as likely to say they'd been contacted by the Kerry campaign (38 percent) than by the Bush campaign (16 percent).

The Ipsos-AP analysis provides this sketch of new voters' demographics and political attitudes:

New voters tend to be young (64% are under 35), unmarried (54%), with some college experience (36%) and holding down a full-time job (63%), often in the service sector or skilled trades. They say the country is heading in the wrong direction (68%) and disapprove of Bush’s performance as President (63%) and his handling of Iraq (65%), in particular.

Obviously, the more of these voters that show up at the polls on November 2, the better for John Kerry.

. . .
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PROGRESSIVE1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-04 11:06 PM
Response to Original message
1. I hope that actually vote now and....
that the Rethugs don't fool with their votes!
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WLKjr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-04 11:08 PM
Response to Original message
2. I love this image!
Edited on Sun Oct-24-04 11:09 PM by WLKjr
I think this is kewl. very kewl when it moves.


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deadparrot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-04 11:10 PM
Response to Original message
3. Do we know what percentage of the electorate these new voters represent?
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tedoll78 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-04 11:13 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. I've heard estimates of 10%.
Edited on Sun Oct-24-04 11:15 PM by tedoll78
Some say 7%.

And many say new voters in 2000 were less than 3%.

On Edit:
remember, that's 7% of ALL voters. And many of these new voters are concentrated in the swing states. We see the early balloting in Iowa, with our numbers DOUBLING the GOP's early voters. There's actual evidence to point to this as a real phenomenon.
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deadparrot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-04 11:14 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Really? Wow.
That's a valuable 7-10%, especially if they break for Kerry in those numbers.
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Fed Up Donating Member (443 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-04 11:14 PM
Response to Original message
5. I can't believe there is even 1 new voter who wants to keep Chimpy in.
But I'm glad we got way more on our side.

Wanting Chimpie to continue in office is like going on a candlelight vigil to free Charlie Manson.

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Pax Argent Donating Member (350 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-04 11:24 PM
Response to Original message
7. That's why I'm here
I've never voted in my 37 years prior to this year's primaries. I will be gladly going to vote for Kerry come 11/2.
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Doctor_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-04 11:26 PM
Response to Original message
8. so how many Gore supporters from 2000
will have to have lost their minds for Chimp to make up for this?
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RevolutionStartsNow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 12:52 AM
Response to Reply #8
11. LOL, I can only think of one:
Ron Silver
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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-04 11:28 PM
Response to Original message
9. Take a new voter to the polls
or make sure they've mailed in their ballots.
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DeepModem Mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 12:47 AM
Response to Original message
10. Kick!
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