ABC Approval Poll

[disneyboy]

Can anyone confirm ABCs new poll of having Bush <JOB APPROVAL> at 51%?? I saw it on the MSNBC ticker.

[Kierkegaard]

1. Bah

Avert thine eyes

[crissy71]

2. yawn

[dave123williams]

3. Well, what do his RE-ELECT numbers look like?

Funny, they never poll on how likely you are to go vote for a candidate.

[tritsofme]

4. I bet you can find it

if you look around the ABC and WaPo sites.

[unfrigginreal]

5. Why wouldn't it be?

He's probably got a 70% approval in the ignorant...er, I mean the red states.

[snowbear]

6. horse pooey

Just go to Google news and read articles on Bloomberg and the AP.

Where does it say it's above 50%? Here's one article today, and I'll have to go find the one AP put out:

http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&sid=ag6zJ0YNgF6A&refer=us

[WI_DEM]

7. If so it is down three points from 54%

just a few days ago.

[Nicholas_J]

8. For a little perspective about ABC polls

They had Kerry winning the first debate. BY ONE POINT.

Kerry 41% Bush 40%

[disneyboy]

9. OMG!

How did Bush go up FOUR points?? Wasnt he at 44% approval at the BEGINNING of the week??

[fujiyama]

11. The one with 44 % was CBS

Different polls...like comparing Apples and Oranges.

[kostya]

15. they over-sample repubs every time.

[mistertrickster]

10. Don't panic--Bush is still at a record low for job approval

Here's where I go

http://www.pollingreport.com/BushJob.htm

Even Fox has him at only 49 percent--several others at 44 and one at 47.

The Dow Jones was at its lowest for the year TODAY. That can't be good news for the incumbent.

[Awsi Dooger]

14. Unfortunately, many of the approval numbers are going up

Dangerously up, from a Kerry standpoint. Many over 50%. Specifically, polls that began 10/17 or later indicate a Bush uptick. Time, in particular, is up sharply over the past week. This is the site I use. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/bush_ja.html

Zobgy is not included in that sample. CBS has not been heard from in a while. Their next number will be very significant, IMO.

Time 10/19 - 10/21 53% 44% +9%
Rasmussen 10/19 - 10/21 54% 46% +8%
ABC/Wash Post 10/18 - 10/20 52% 46% +6%
AP-Ipsos 10/18 - 10/20 47% 52% -5%
Marist 10/17 - 10/19 49% 48% +1%
NBC/WSJ 10/17 - 10/18 49% 47% +2%
FOX News 10/17 - 10/18 49% 44% +5%

[kostya]

16. You listing "approval" numbers or election polling numbers

they are not the same thing. Besides I wouldn't touch RealClear with a 10ft poll, very biased.

[tritsofme]

17. RCP is just averages

Lets you see it all in one place.

I don't read any of his analysis, don't even know if he does any, but seeing the numbers is helpful.

[Awsi Dooger]

18. Check the link; they are not averages or election percentages

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/bush_ja.html

They are Bush job approval ratings, listed chronologically with most recent on top. No analysis or slant from RealClearPolitics, other than Zogby doesn't seem to be listed. You can scoll down and see how the individual numbers have changed since the previous sample from the same firm.

Looking at the chart, it's distinct there has been a Bush job approval gain, for whatever assinine reason.

[tritsofme]

19. That's what I meant by that.

They probably don't include Zogby because he asks the approval question in a different way than everyone else.

[DemPopulist]

20. That's a conservative site

They're probably not including Zogby because he generally has Bush at 44%-45%. So does PEW, and so does CBS. Go here.

Rasmussen has had Bush at 51%+ all year.

[grace0418]

12. BushCo probably caught wind of the pundits

saying that incumbants with approval ratings under 50% don't get re-elected so they talked to their friends in the media to bump that rating just a tad. Fuckers.

[Reciprocity]

13. one more..

Bush, With Approval Ratings Below 50%, Remains Tied With Kerry

Oct. 22 (Bloomberg) -- President George W. Bush, whose job approval ratings are below 50 percent in most polls this week, remains tied with four-term Massachusetts Senator John Kerry with 11 days to go before the U.S. election.

Bush's approval rating averaged 48.3 percent in eight national polls released this week, with a New York Times/CBS News poll published Oct. 19 showing 59 percent of respondents said the country is on the ``wrong track.'' Bush and Kerry are statistically tied in eight polls, and four show Bush leading outside the margin of error

http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&sid=ag6zJ0YNgF6A&refer=us