The overtly stupid nature of some of this "analysis" is a
dead giveaway as to just how FUBAR the situation really is.
Nevertheless, some good points are made.Recent events have further complicated Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's plan to leave Gaza. It is impossible to implement Sharon's plan under the present security circumstances, and this can only be changed by occupying the Gaza Strip in order to withdraw from it.
Down is up, right? Light at the end of the tunnel? Once more
into the breach, men!The Egyptians are not in control of Gaza. Nobody is, although Yasser Arafat has influence over it, as does Hamas' overseas leadership. About a month ago this leadership acted to moderate the rocket firing in exchange for the IDF's refraining from destructive invasions into Beit Hanun. However, in recent weeks the deal crumbled. One of the current IDF operation's goals is to make Hamas resume those understandings.
Sources in the southern command believe the chances for this are slim, in the absence of a chain of command that could make such a decision and enforce it on the firing groups.
Having assiduously undermined whatever leadership the Palestinians
might have had, there is now nobody to negotiate with, should one
be interested in negotiating ...---
The escalation in Gaza has turned Sharon into his own enemy. He is trapped, he has lost control over his destiny, he cannot withdraw and cannot stay, and he is waiting for larger forces than him, world forces, to save him.
Haaretz(a couple more interesting bits)
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