Now, to your post:
I am a "gun-grabber," I fully admit it. This is due to a number of things, beliefs, and experiences in my life, but I'm the first to also concede that my position is a distinctly minority one. I'm also the first to admit that I'm ensconced in an atmosphere that, while not an ivory one, is still the equivalent of an academic tower. I pretty much am only around folks who share my beliefs about not just guns, but about the entire gamut of progressive ideals & politics.
Fair enough. Here are my views, some suggestions for things that might appeal to both sides, and then my thoughts on yours.
First of all, primary determinants of the overall violence rate have nothing to do with guns. Here are some Department of Justice stats on homicide trends:
Gun availability to the law-abiding did not decrease at all during that time; in fact, that decline was concomitant with a significant increase in lawful handgun ownership rates, a steep decline in the ownership of traditional hunting weapons/increase in the ownership of nonhunting-style guns (aka "assault weapons"), and a rising rate of gun ownership among city dwellers as the lawful gun culture tipped away from the hunting-centric 1950's/60's mold. The only significant changes in gun laws during that time were the McClure-Volkmer Act of 1986 (which made it less of a hassle for the law-abiding to purchase ammunition, AFAIK, and made it easier to import foreign-made rifles for civilian sale), the 1986 ban on Kevlar-piercing handgun ammunition (irrelevant to the homicide rate since such ammunition never really hit the market), background checks for purchases in the early '90s, and the adoption of shall-issue CHL policies by a majority of states between 1994 and 2004. I don't think any of those laws had a significant impact on crime rates one way or the other.
What DID change? Well, besides the Baby Boomers' kids growing out of their 20's, I think the declines had a lot to do with better social safety nets now than in 1975, rising incomes, greater social cohesiveness, more educational opportunities, greater education rates, and the adoption of the "community policing" model in major cities during the middle of that time frame rather than prior keep-the-citizens-in-line models that tended to foster distrust. There are probably other factors--mental health care, possibly less inner-city blight, the decline of institutionalized racism/sexism, a greater sense of social optimism (albeit stochastic)--and there are a lot of people far more qualified to speak on those topics than I am. But those declines had nothing to do with any declines in lawful gun availability (there were none).
I'd point out the following, in no particular order:
(1) Lawful gun possession rates are not correlelated at all with homicide rates;
criminal possession is. NYC mayor Bloomberg (no friend of gun owners) says that something like 90% of shooters in NYC murders had prior criminal records, and as such are barred by Federal, state, and local law from so much as touching a gun. New Hampshire has very free gun laws (arguably the most free in the nation, except for Vermont) and one of the highest gun ownership rates of any state, and also the nation's lowest violent crime rate. Gun-loving Florida and gun-hating New Jersey have similar homicide rates, 4.8-5.0/100K.
(2) The primary issue is WHO is in possession of a gun, not WHAT the gun in question looks like.
(3) Rifle bans are a red herring; rifles are among the rarest of all guns to be misused (2.91% of murders in 2006, latest year for which we have full data); shoes and bare hands account for twice as many murders as all rifles combined, including "assault weapons."
(4) Lawful handgun owners are not a crime problem, and licensed CHL holders are statistically even more law-abiding than the police.
(4) Gun restrictions that target the lawful majority instead of criminal misuse are guaranteed to fail both politically and pragmatically, as they are not only offensive to the gun-owning population, but fail to address the problem.
(5) Party strategists who view gun ownership as a "conservative" issue are out of touch with large portions of the party's base, particularly the working class, union members, etc. Many Dems and indies live outside of California, Massachusetts, and southern Illinois (believe it or not), and a lot of us own guns and intend to keep them.
(6) Hunting is almost completely irrelevant to the gun issue, and any campaign strategist/advisor who believes otherwise needs to purchase a clue. Only 1 in 5 U.S. gun owners is a hunter, and many (most?) hunters also own nonhunting guns.
Some suggestions that might appeal to both sides?
Have the BATFE actually take it seriously when a criminal tries to buy a gun and gets rejected by NICS. That's a Federal felony, but is almost never prosecuted.
Stop dropping/plea bargaining gun charges against violent criminals away, and have them do the time. If that means letting harmless pot smokers go free so the police can focus their resources on murderers and rapists, then it's about damn time.
Trace guns actually used in violent crimes, and PROSECUTE THE STRAW PURCHASERS YOU FIND. If there is a gunrunner buying guns via straw purchasers in Virginia and hauling them up to NYC (or if he's buying guns via straw purchases in upstate NY, which is more common), if you trace every gun to the original purchaser, you will find some thefts, but you will also find straw purchasers who were buying the gun for someone else. Prosecute them; that's a crime under current law.
Return to the community policing model that worked well in the past, and ditch the Surveillance Nation / Homeland Security / Keep The 'Civilians' In Line model that we're currently moving toward (and which the DLC seems to like just as well as the neocons).
Decriminalize cannabinoids and shift the immense resources we waste on that issue toward legitimate police work. The U.S. homicide rate skyrocketed during alcohol prohibition and then fell 75% or so in the years after prohibition was repealed, IIRC. We have certainly forgotten those lessons.
Tax credit for purchase of a UL-listed gun safe. We went years without a safe because we couldn't afford one; we have one now, but we'd have had one a lot earlier if we could have.
Look for ways to apply NICS check to private sales without registration or hassle.
Re: the issue at large, I've written more at length here, if you're interested (verbosity warning); I'll post links so as not to clutter up this thread unnecessarily.
Gun ownership is Zen, not RamboHow Dems should approach the issue--written in '04, largely vindicated in '06, IMOThe conservative roots of a lot of U.S. gun controlMy druthers would be as follows:
Thoughts on your druthers (and no offense intended, I'm just telling you what I personally think of them):
1. A complete, total ban on handguns.
Guaranteed to be even less successful than our current complete, total bans on pot and diacetyl morphine, AND guaranteed to completely piss off the 40
million people of voting age who lawfully and responsibly own handguns in this country. Run that number as a percentage of registered voters, considering that gun owners vote at higher rates than the population at large, and that roughly half of gun owners are Dems and indies. Or, to look at it another way, think about the political backlash that would result from a complete and total ban on hunting, and multiply it by approximately 2.50; either way, it isn't happening.
Also, a complete and total ban would be counterproductive in the long run. As it now stands, there is a strong incentive for gun owners to follow the law, there is a national background check for purchase, every handgun is tracked from manufacturer to purchaser and a record made of the sale, and people who wish to carry handguns must first apply for a license. Make handguns illegal, and the legitimate trade in handguns will go underground (there are already ~100 million handguns in private hands in the USA, and they're not going away; nor is private handgun ownership). Right now, it is easier to get pot or heroin in most cities than it is to get Demerol or fentanyl, and alcohol prohibition increased the sale and use of hard liquors as opposed to beer. There are sociological and criminalogical lessons to be learned there, and if you don't heed them, the Le Chatelier-Braun principle will bite you in the posterior.
BTW, trivia time...recognize this handgun enthusiast?
2. A grandfathered ban on any "long gun" or rifle that is capable of firing more than five rounds without having to reload.
Not just no, but
hell no. No, as in millions of people giving you the finger and quoting Plutarch.* Let's not go there.
Besides, rifles are not a crime problem in this country and never have been.
FBI Uniform Crime Reports, Table 20, Murder, by State and Type of Weapon
http://www.fbi.gov/ucr/cius2006/data/table_20.htmlTotal murders............................14,990.....100.00%
Handguns..................................7,795......52.00%
Other weapons (non firearm, non edged)....2,158......14.40%
Edged weapons.............................1,822......12.15%
Firearms (type unknown)...................1,465.......9.77%
Hands, fists, feet, etc.....................833.......5.56%
Shotguns....................................481.......3.21%
Rifles......................................436.......2.91%Check out the FBI stats. Colorado had
zero recorded rifle homicides in 2006. Illinois had 4, out of 487 murders. Going after rifles is nonsensical, IMO.
(And a 5-round capacity is ridiculous. That takes us back before the Civil War; the Henry and Spencer carbines hit the civilian market in the early 1860's and held up to fifteen rounds, and 30+ round small-caliber carbines (lever actions with spiral magazines) date to the 1870's or 1880's, though they were eclipsed by the more powerful Winchesters.)
3. Ditto for shotguns.
Ditto for shotguns. Only 3.21% of murders in 2006 involved any type of shotgun.
4. Registration of firearms, at the owners expense, to include the following:
(a) Serial # of firearm.
(b) Ballistic "fingerprint" taken of the weapon (I presume in the same manner the police match particular weapons to crimes now).
(c) Photograph of weapon, and any distinguishing marks on same listed, and entered into a database.
5. Mandatory ownership of a gun safe, along with a corresponding minimum requirement for its size, weight, level of difficulty to break into, etc.
6. Criminal liability for the owner of a firearm who manages somehow to misplace his gun, and that gun ends up being used in the commission of a felony.
(a) This would be contingent upon circumstances, of course: a gun owner who, upon having his home burglarized and safe blown up with dynamite or something, and who immediately reported the theft to the police, would as a general rule, not be prosecuted.
That's unnecessarily intrusive and not particularly helpful, IMO. The USSC has already ruled that criminals cannot be prosecuted for failure to register guns, on 5th amendment grounds.
Ballistic fingerprinting is useful for matching a
recently fired bullet to a
small sample of guns, but it is more like matching tire tracks than matching fingerprints. Like a national database of tire tracks of individual cars, the idea breaks down once you get into millions of possible matches and significant elapsed time (shooting a gun changes the wear pattern on the bullet), doesn't work at all for shotguns, and doesn't work for fragmenting rifle ammunition.
Lack of registration is currently the single biggest protection we have against partial gun confiscation, and for that reason I will continue to oppose it until new bans on currently legal guns are completely ruled out (and registration has a pretty bad track record of abuse in this country, IMO).
7. "Concealed carry" only for folks who can demonstrate a need for it, i.e., diamond vendors, the folks who drive around those armored cars full of money for banks, people who are under a genuine threat of being rubbed out by the mob for their testimony, etc.
Why? CHL holders are statistically even less likely to commit criminal violence than even the police.
And from a progressive standpoint, why should it be OK for a businessman to have a CHL to protect his money or diamonds (a mere possession), but it not be OK for the ordinary working-class person who merely wants to protect his
life, not his money? Your diamond merchant is in a lot less danger than the woman who cleans his office at night, or the convenience store clerk, or the taxi driver.
I hold a CHL that is valid in ~33 states. To obtain it, I had to pass a Federal background check, state background check, mental health records check, have my fingerprints run by the FBI (clean), take a class on self-defense law using a state-approved curriculum, pass a written test on same administered by the sheriff's office, and demonstrate competence with a handgun on a shooting range, live fire. If you think about it, I am certifiably
less dangerous to you and to society at large than a random sampling of your coworkers or the people you meet at Starbuck's.
Now, there is not much chance anything on that list is going to happen anytime soon. Fair enough. But just because something hasn't been enacted into law doesn't mean it shouldn't be.
In this case, IMO it
shouldn't be.The right of peaceful individuals to own and use guns, as long as they do not use them to threaten or hurt others, is
deeply ingrained in this country--to the point that it is at least a
de facto part of the social contract, even if you hold to a non-rights view of the Second Amendment.
But if you tried, you'd take the Democratic party down the same road as the Temperance Party. Roughly the same percentage of the population supports comprehensive gun bans as support bringing back alcohol prohibition (circa 20%), and falling. Let's work together on the things we do agree on.
That's my take on guns and gun control, in short.
Thanks for sharing, and for the civility. Even if we disagree, it's a hopeful sign for this nation that we can at least talk to each other and civilly disagree.
------------------------
*
Пάλιν δ̀ὲ̀ του̑ Ξέρξου γράψαντος 'πέµψον τὰ ὅπλα' ἀντέγραψε 'µολὼν λαβέ' (Plutarch,
Moralia, III, Apophthegmata Laconica, "Sayings of Spartans")
(to Xerxes demand, "hand over your arms," (Leonidas) retorted,"come and get them".)