they will live in a world of conflict due to fighting over fossil fuels, what the impact of global warming will be 20-50 years from now on air quality, water quality, food availability. The next 20-30 years will be very interesting: either we'll make dramatic changes to offset global warming and slow it down enough, or we'll continue to refuse to make the necessary changes. Another possibility is we've already passed the point at which we can fix things (hopefully this is not true - but the melting of the ice in the Arctic and the exposure of the land underneath, and the loss of the reflective cap of ice, among other things, worry me immensely).
The federal deficit is another recent concern that's been added. Health care in the US. The downward spiral of education in the US. Labor laws and job security in the US. I don't think I'd raise a child in the US.
I just saw An Inconvenient Truth and a friend I went with said he was afraid he was going to be really depressed by the film. I wasn't at all worried about that: the general message of the movie is already known to me and I've been convinced about global warming for about 2 decades. There were details Gore mentioned that I didn't know but the general picture was already known to me (I went to support the production of these kinds of films).
I honestly don't see how anyone could want to bring a child, who they will love beyond almost anything, into the world we've created, for the child to face the mess we've created.
We've only in the past 45 years or so had the ability to really control our ability to pro-create. Before then, we could slow it down, but condoms aren't 100% effective, and abortions weren't safe, either. We had children because there was no effective way to prevent them 100%.
We now have a choice, and we have a far greater understanding of our position in the world, and how we're affecting the entire planet, than has ever been the case in the past. It's not just a matter of genes. The greatly decreased birth rate in the developed countries shows this. The LA Times had an article on this.
http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/commentary/la-oe-barash10may10,1,1760560.storyFrom the Los Angeles Times
Sex is essential, kids aren't
Why are 30% of German women choosing to go childless? Free will, baby.
By David P. Barash
DAVID P. BARASH is a professor of psychology at the University of Washington.
May 10, 2006
THE GERMAN PUBLIC was recently shocked to learn that 30% of "their" women are childless — the highest proportion of any country in the world. And this is not a result of infertility; it's intentional childlessness.
Demographers are intrigued. German nationalists, aghast. Religious fundamentalists, distressed at the indication that large numbers of women are using birth control.
And evolutionary biologists (including me) are asked, "How can this be?" If reproduction is perhaps the fundamental imperative of natural selection, of our genetic heritage, isn't it curious — indeed, counterintuitive — that people choose, and in such large numbers, to refrain from participating in life's most pressing event?
The answer is that intentional childlessness is indeed curious — but in no way surprising. It is also illuminating, because it sheds light on what is perhaps the most notable hallmark of the human species: the ability to say no — not just to a bad idea, an illegal order or a wayward pet but to our own genes.
When it comes to human behavior, there are actually very few genetic dictates. Our hearts insist on beating, our lungs breathing, our kidneys filtering and so forth, but these internal-organ functions are hardly "behavior" in a meaningful sense. As for more complex activities, evolution whispers within us. It does not shout orders.
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