Do we really need to repost the summary of the ACTUAL LONG TERM PLAN from the Environment Ministry yet again?
http://journals.democraticunderground.com/kristopher/670And
June 2011
The path to the energy of the future - reliable, affordable and environmentally sound
Germany is one of the most productive and economically successful countries in the world. This would not be possible without a competitive supply of energy for our businesses. We will preserve this asset. Our citizens rely on electricity being available at all times of the day and night, in any quantity and at an affordable price. They can continue to rely on that. We want our energy system to strengthen our economic base, give important impetus to innovation and technological progress, preserve the natural foundations of life and help protect our climate. We stand by these goals. We do not want Germany to be dependent on electricity imports, we want to be able to generate our net demand ourselves. This will remain our motive.
Germany has made the fundamental decision to cover our future energy supply from renewable sources. In autumn 2010 the federal government adopted the Energy Concept, which paved the way for the age of renewable energies. Nuclear power has a bridging role in this Concept, but only until renewable energies can play their part reliably and the necessary energy infrastructure has been established.
However, in the aftermath of the previously unimaginable Fukushima disaster we must reconsider the role of nuclear energy. The catastrophe and its impacts, which cannot yet be fully foreseen, compel us to reassess the residual risks of nuclear energy. The Reactor Safety Commission has presented a comprehensive analysis of the risks associated with the nuclear power plants in Germany. In addition, the federal government has appointed an independent Ethics Commission which has drawn up opinions on all issues relating to our future energy supply. The results presented by these commissions guided us in taking the recent energy policy decisions that needed to be made.
In a step-by-step approach, we will completely phase out electricity production in German nuclear power plants by the end of 2022 at the latest. The seven nuclear power plants shut down during the moratorium and the Krümmel nuclear power plant will not go back on-line. The Grafenrheinfeld nuclear power plant will be taken off the grid by the end of 2015, followed by Gundremmingen B by the end of 2017, Philippsburg 2 by the end of 2019, and Grohnde, Gundremmingen C and Brokdorf by the end of 2021. The three newest plants, Isar 2, Emsland and Neckarwestheim 2, will be shut down by the end of 2022 at the latest. The remaining operating times are based on a lifespan of 32 years to take due account of the rights of the owners. The residual electricity volumes of the seven plants that were taken off the grid during the moratorium can be transferred to other plants. The same applies to the residual electricity volumes of the Krümmel and Mülheim-Kärlich plants.
The Federal ...
http://www.erneuerbare-energien.de/inhalt/47609/3860 /
The original framework they drafted (updated in 2010) is fundamental to the above description. It explores 3 paths to their goal of a carbon free energy system based on renewables.
...For Germany an electricity supply system based completely on renewable energies by 2050 is technically as well as ecologically feasible. Such a system can be imple- mented using currently available production and demand side technology and wi- thout compromising neither Germany’s position as a highly industrialised country nor current lifestyles.
An electricity supply system based completely on renewable energies can – at any hour of the year – provide a security of supply on par with today’s high standard. The results of our simulations show that renewable energies – through the inter- play of production and load management and electricity storage – can meet the demand for electricity and provide the necessary control reserve at any time. This is possible even during extreme weather events as occurred in the four-year time period considered.
The constrained renewable energy potentials in Germany (considering technical and environmental constraints) were shown to be sufficient if – at the same time – available efficiency potentials in electricity consumption and building insulation are tapped.
The potentials identified in our simulation are also sufficient to cover the additional power demand from strongly increasing e-mobility and from the use of heat pumps to cover the entire heating and hot water demand, as well as for additional air conditioning.
The expansion of ...
You can download the English version of the Exec Summary here:
http://www.umweltdaten.de/publikationen/weitere_infos/3997-0.pdf Which is on this page:
http://www.umweltbundesamt.de/energie-e/index.htm There, as here, the actual path that will be followed is one that will be determined by political influence. If the right wing takes complete control, you can be sure that they would resurrect their nuclear plans and go full steam ahead with coal plants, hoping in both cases for a future solution to the waste products of both industries. If the Greeen movement continues as it has been lately, however, then it is likely the pace of transition to a renewable energy infrastructure will accelerate.