They got this wrong the first time they announced it so there are skeptics but the science now seems sound that global warming will lead to food shortages.
Nearly 60 million people living around the Himalayas will suffer food shortages in the coming decades as glaciers shrink and the water sources for crops dry up, a study said Thursday.
But Dutch scientists writing in the journal Science concluded the impact would be much less than previously estimated a few years ago by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The U.N. report in 2007 warned that hundred of millions of people were at risk from disappearing glaciers.
The reason for the discrepancy, scientists said, is that some basins surrounding the Himalayas depend more on rainfall than melting glaciers for their water sources.
Those that do count heavily on glaciers like the Indus, Ganges and Brahamaputra basins in South Asia could see their water supplies decline by as much as 19.6% by 2050. China's Yellow River basin, in contrast, would see a 9.5% increase precipitation as monsoon patterns change due to the changing climate.
Study: Shrinking glaciers to spark food shortages in Asia