"THE winter rainfall outlook is grim, according to the National Climate Centre, which yesterday released its latest three-month forecast. Only a small part of central and coastal Queensland can expect a wetter-than-average winter, it predicts. and even there the chances are slight – just 50 to 55 per cent.
Across almost all of the Northern Territory and South Australia and in the northern half of Victoria and southwest NSW, the chances of a drier-than-normal winter are 55 to 60 per cent. The remainder of NSW and most of Queensland is neutral. The worst-hit areas are predicted to be in southern Victoria, southeastern South Australia and the vital wheat-belt region of southwestern Western Australia, where the likelihood of a drier June, July and August is as high as 60-65 per cent. Tasmania is also likely to have a drier-than-average season, forecasters say.
National Climate Centre senior climatologist Grant Beard said warmer-than-average surface temperatures in the Pacific and Indian oceans pointed to a warmer and drier season ahead.
The warmer oceans could force high-pressure systems into a more southerly track than normal, blocking southwesterly fronts and pushing warm easterlies across Western Australia."
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http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,5744,15322262%255E30417,00.html