(The Scotsman) Drought, refugees, revolution and war – military prepares for climate doomsday

[OKIsItJustMe]

http://news.scotsman.com/uk/Drought-refugees-revolution--and.6169310.jp

Monday, 22nd March 2010

Drought, refugees, revolution and war – military prepares for climate doomsday

By Jenny Fyall
MILITARY chiefs are holding "back room" discussions on how to cope with the threat of a world ravaged by wars provoked by uncontrolled climate change, an expert has warned.

Gwynne Dyer, an influential lecturer in international affairs, said if the climate continues to change at its current rate there will be global conflict in decades.

Tens of millions of climate refuges unable to feed themselves in their own dried-up countries will aim for places like Scotland where conditions will remain favourable.

These countries will in turn use their military powers to barricade their borders, leading to wars over land, food and water.

...

[ensho]

1. life is going to go from bad to horrible

water wars, food wars, shelter wars, etc.

borders will be breached.

[Dogmudgeon]

2. The Pentagon did such a study in 2003

You may already be aware of it, but here's a current link:

http://www.climate.org/PDF/clim_change_scenario.pdf">An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United States National Security (October 2003, Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall) (PDF 412 kB)

The Pentagon also gave weight to a thermohaline-driven mini-ice-age scenario, which is also still possible.

--d!

[OKIsItJustMe]

3. Oh yes, I'm aware of it

That particular study (as your link text shows) was written by two men, hired by "the Pentagon."

Here're a couple of more recent studies:
http://securityandclimate.cna.org/
http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/display.cfm?pubID=862

And here's a recent story from NPR:
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=121352495